Bull Rankings model

Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) stock analysis

Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CHTR
Charter Communications, Inc. · Telecom Services
59.5Score
$103.38Oct 9 close$13.4B
1Y Target$175.11Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$221.07Compound horizon
10Y Target$283.51Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.4bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $4.4b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev-0.6%FY YoY
D+
Revenue -0.6% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E4.42
D
D/E 4.42 — most levered decile in Communication Services (≈95th pctile)
P/E2.9x
A
P/E 2.9 — cheapest decile in Communication Services (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.62
A-
PEG 0.62 — strong; the growth comes cheap

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 59.5
Quality62.0
Growth36.7
Value92.7
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
62% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value83% belowest. fair value ~$592
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking 25% or more next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~-1% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $13.4b. Down 62% from 52-week high of $268.77 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.62 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $175.11 (implying +69% upside).
Moat
ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
D/E 4.42 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 62% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $175.11 (19-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $221.07 at ~16% CAGR — earnings growth and a modest re-rating. 10 yr $283.51 if the moat survives secular pressure.

CHTR vs the Top Picks average

PillarCHTRBook avgDiff
Quality6283-21
Growth3789-52
Value9376+17

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-1.2 over 82 daily scores
From 60.7 (Jun 22) → 59.5 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CHTR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD59.5/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY62.0GROWTH36.7VALUE92.7Reverse-DCF · Price implies an outright decline from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$545–$628 ▸FAIR-VALUE RANGE · ▸ BEYOND THE SCALE$103PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$592 · price $103 is 83% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$103LOW $102HIGH $269Trading near its 52-week low ($102–$269).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-58%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+6.7%
90-day change+6.2%
Forward EPS estimate$47.04

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CHTR to earn is materially higher (+6.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
19
Position size
$1,964
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$77.53
25% below $103.38
$ at risk if stopped
$491.05
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR): score, valuation & FAQ

Charter Communications, Inc. (CHTR) is a Telecom Services company that scores 59.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A) and PEG (A-), while Rev (D+) and D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, CHTR sits about 83% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking 25% or more next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is CHTR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CHTR 59.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Charter Communications, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CHTR score 59.5 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 92.7 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 36.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CHTR earns its highest marks on P/E (A) and PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+) and D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CHTR is measured against Telecom Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CHTR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $103.38, CHTR sits about 83% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking 25% or more next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 2.9x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CHTR?

D/E 4.42 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Down 62% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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