Bull Rankings model

TIM S.A. (TIMB) stock analysis

Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
TIMB
TIM S.A. · Telecom Services
59.9Score
$17.98Oct 9 close$8.5B
1Y Target$24.24Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$30.60Compound horizon
10Y Target$39.25Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.8bTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $1.8b — respectable but not differentiating · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+4.6%FY YoY
C+
Revenue +4.6% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.66
B
D/E 0.66 — near the Communication Services debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E10.6x
A-
P/E 10.6 — cheaper than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.35
B
PEG 1.35 — acceptable premium for growth

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 59.9
Quality82.5
Growth56.0
Value64.0
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Cut its dividend
  • Foreign reporter (BRL)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
36% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value72% belowest. fair value ~$64
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 23% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC18.7% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $8.5b. Down 36% from 52-week high of $28.22 — deep drawdown territory. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $24.24 (implying +35% upside).
Moat
Net margin 16% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income, mostly because of depreciation and amortization ($1.4b) — non-cash charges that hold down reported earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 88% of earnings on a 8.4% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.24 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $30.60 at ~11% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $39.25 if the moat survives secular pressure.

TIMB vs the Top Picks average

PillarTIMBBook avgDiff
Quality8383in line
Growth5689-33
Value6476-12

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-3.3 over 82 daily scores
From 63.2 (Jun 22) → 59.9 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

TIMB at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD59.9/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY82.5GROWTH56.0VALUE64.0Reverse-DCF · Price implies an outright decline from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$60.1–$71 ▸FAIR-VALUE RANGE · ▸ BEYOND THE SCALE$18PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$64.4 · price $18 is 72% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$18LOW $17.1HIGH $28.2Trading near its 52-week low ($17.1–$28.2).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-9%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.7%
90-day change-5.5%
Forward EPS estimate$2.05

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TIMB to earn is materially lower (-5.5%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
111
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$13.48
25% below $17.98
$ at risk if stopped
$498.94
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

TIM S.A. (TIMB): score, valuation & FAQ

TIM S.A. (TIMB) is a Telecom Services company that scores 59.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, TIMB sits about 72% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 23% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is TIMB a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TIMB 59.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of TIM S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TIMB score 59.9 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 82.5 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 56.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TIMB earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TIMB is measured against Telecom Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is TIMB overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $17.98, TIMB sits about 72% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 23% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 10.6x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in TIMB?

Down 36% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Dividend payout 88% of earnings on a 8.4% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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