Bull Rankings model

Innovex International, Inc. (INVX) stock analysis

Oil & Gas Equipment & Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
INVX
Innovex International, Inc. · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
50.2Score
$28.06Oct 9 close$2.0B
1Y Target$33.40Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$48.90Compound horizon
10Y Target$72.54Long-dated conviction
FCF$124mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $124m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+48.0%FY YoY
A
Revenue +48.0% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.07
A
D/E 0.07 — least levered decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
P/E31.5x
C
P/E 31.5 — expensive vs Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.46est.
B
PEG 1.46 — acceptable premium for growth · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 50.2
Quality55.0
Growth50.0
Value45.9
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value19% belowest. fair value ~$35
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~22% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedWritten from the fundamentals then; figures in the text are as of that day, today's are above · Editorial standards

Why now
INVX’s drill‑enhancement tool suite is unlocking faster rate‑of‑penetration for offshore operators, driving a 15% revenue growth YoY while the balance sheet stays ultra‑lean with a 0.07 debt‑to‑equity ratio. The Bull Rankings model flags Quality at 55 – the strongest pillar – indicating a solid, defensible product platform, and the market is already rewarding that with a PE of 30.2. The thesis hinges on the continuation of this drilling‑performance premium compounding the top‑line faster than the modest 6% FCF growth baked into today’s price.
Moat
The company’s patented downhole catch‑tool technology creates high switching costs for service rigs that must rent or buy these mission‑critical tools, locking in recurring rental revenue and limiting competitor entry. Coupled with a proven track record of boosting drilling efficiency, this gives INVX pricing power that translates into a stable 6.2% profit margin despite cyclical pressures.
Risk
A bear sees the sector’s cyclical downturn hitting oil‑field spending, and INVX’s valuation is already on the expensive side – a Value score of 36 – meaning the PE of 30.2 leaves little headroom if drilling activity stalls. A sustained drop in drilling rigs would compress margins and push free‑cash‑flow growth below the 6% baseline the price assumes, confirming the downside.
Horizon
1-3 yr $33.40 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $48.90 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $72.54 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

INVX vs the Top Picks average

PillarINVXBook avgDiff
Quality5583-28
Growth5089-39
Value4676-30

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+5.7 over 81 daily scores
From 44.5 (Jun 22) → 50.2 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

INVX at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD50.2/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY55.0GROWTH50.0VALUE45.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~8% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$27.7$47.7FAIR-VALUE RANGE$28.1PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$34.6 · price $28.1 is 19% below it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+60%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$28.1LOW $17HIGH $33.7Trading at the 66th percentile of its 52-week range ($17–$33.7).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.0%
90-day change-4.2%
Forward EPS estimate$1.87

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect INVX to earn is drifting lower (-4.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
71
Position size
$1,992
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.04
25% below $28.06
$ at risk if stopped
$498.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Analysis as of · figures are as written that day and are not updated. Today's numbers are in the cards above.

Written by the Bull Rankings model from fundamentals as of , and checked against those figures. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 45.5 / 100, built from three pillars scored 0–100: Quality 56, Growth 50, Value 34 (valuation is judged against sector peers). At today's price, our reverse-DCF read says the market is implicitly betting on free-cash-flow growth of about 5% a year next year, fading to 3% a year by year ten — a gauge of how much optimism is already in the stock.

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD45.5/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY55.6GROWTH50.0VALUE33.9Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~5% growth a year from here.

The thesis

Our model gives INVX a quality-growth score of 45.5 out of 100, with Quality at 56 and Growth at 50 — the strongest pillars — while Value sits at just 34. The numbers back this up. In the quarter ended 2026-06-30, INVX posted 6.2% profit margins on 15% revenue growth year over year, all while sporting a debt-to-equity ratio of 0.07. That’s a business printing cash and compounding without the leverage crutch. The weakest pillar, Value, shows up in the P/E of 33.5; the market is paying up for the growth, and the model reads that as cyclical growth with caution. The stock’s 52-week range of $16.29–$33.71 tells the same story: investors are willing to chase the upside but won’t let the name run without proof.

What the business actually is

REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$997.5m · 100%Net income$61.6m · 6.2%Free cash flow$129.6m · 13%Cash flow exceeds reported profit — high-quality earnings.

INVX sells tools that oil and gas operators can’t afford to drill without. Its drilling enhancement tools boost rate of penetration and tame downhole chaos, while its fishing and intervention line — including external catch tools and internal catch tools — cleans up stuck pipe and keeps wells flowing. The well production solutions segment rounds it out with artificial lift accessories that coax stubborn wells back to life. These aren’t commodities; they’re mission-critical fixes that show up on the AFE when the drill bit stalls or the tubing parts downhole. The durability of this franchise rests on the fact that every rig, every workover crew, and every completions team keeps a drawer full of these tools — and orders more when the cycle turns.

Why it can (or can't) keep compounding

ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+64%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

The moat is the toolbox itself. Competitors can copy a catch tool or a stabilizer, but replicating the decades of downhole failure data, the field-service relationships, and the rental fleet that lets customers pay per job rather than buy outright? That’s harder than reverse-engineering a fishing magnet. The model’s Quality pillar at 56 is a middling read: a 5.8% ROE is modest, though $130 million in trailing free cash flow in the TTM through June 2026 shows the business funds itself. Yet the Growth pillar only clocks in at 50, and the model flags “cyclical growth,” meaning the next downturn will test whether operators treat these tools as optional or essential. The question isn’t whether INVX can keep selling tools; it’s whether the industry’s capex cycle will keep buying them at premium prices.

The valuation question

PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$32.2$57.1FAIR-VALUE RANGE$29.8PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$40.6 · price $29.8 is 36% below it.

The multiple is rich, but the reverse DCF is not. A reverse-DCF on today’s $29.84 share price implies 5% annual free-cash-flow growth (in year one, slowing to 3% a year by year ten), yet revenue grew 15% in the year ended 2026-06-30. That gap says the price assumes growth cools. The P/E of 33.5 sits where growth stocks live when the Street believes the good times roll forever. The 52-week high at $33.71 tells the same tale: the market has priced in a smooth ride, not the stop-start reality of oilfield services. If the implied 5% FCF growth proves too rich, the downside isn’t just a valuation reset — it’s a multiple compression that could erase the entire premium.

The bear case

The weakest pillar is Value, and the numbers prove it. A P/E of 33.5 on 6.2% margins is a bet that margins will expand or that growth will accelerate — neither of which is guaranteed. The model’s Value score of 34 says the stock is priced on the expensive side of sector peers. Confirmation would come if revenue growth slips below 10% or if free cash flow turns negative in a single quarter; either would force a reckoning with the multiple. Until then, the bulls own the narrative, and the bears own the exit ramp.

What would change our mind

Two things would flip the thesis. First, if the Quality pillar cracks: ROE falling below 5% or debt-to-equity rising above 0.15 would signal that pricing power is eroding. Second, if the Growth pillar weakens: revenue growth dipping below 10% year over year would break the compounding story. Either shift would drag the quality-growth score lower and force the model to reconsider its “cyclical growth” signal. The baseline is clear — 15% growth, 5.8% ROE, and 0.07 leverage — but the moment those lines blur, the stock’s premium starts to look borrowed.

Innovex International, Inc. (INVX): score, valuation & FAQ

Innovex International, Inc. (INVX) is an Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company that scores 50.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A). On valuation, INVX sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is INVX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores INVX 50.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Innovex International, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does INVX score 50.2 on Bull Rankings?

It grades evenly across the three pillars — quality 55.0, growth 50.0, value 45.9 out of 100 — so no single pillar is carrying the score. INVX earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so INVX is measured against Oil & Gas Equipment & Services peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is INVX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $28.06, INVX sits about 19% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 31.5x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in INVX?

A bear sees the sector’s cyclical downturn hitting oil‑field spending, and INVX’s valuation is already on the expensive side – a Value score of 36 – meaning the PE of 30.2 leaves little headroom if drilling activity stalls. A sustained drop in drilling rigs would compress margins and push free‑cash‑flow growth below the 6% baseline the price assumes, confirming the downside.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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