Oil & Gas Equipment & Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
TDW
Tidewater Inc. · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
49.9Score
$85.42Oct 9 close$4.3B
1Y Target$94.88Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$119.78Compound horizon
10Y Target$153.61Long-dated conviction
FCF$271mTTM · 06/26C
FCF $271m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev-1.0%TTM YoYD+
Revenue -1.0% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.47B
D/E 0.47 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E17.4xB
P/E 17.4 — near the Energy median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.51est.A-
PEG 0.51 — strong; the growth comes cheap · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 49.9
Quality66.4
Growth44.5
Value42.1
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value54% belowest. fair value ~$185
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 4% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~25% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC7.9% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · market cap $4.3b. 16% off the 52-week high of $101.58. PEG 0.51 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $94.88 (implying +11% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 18% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 110% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $94.88 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $119.78 at ~7% CAGR — earnings growth and a modest re-rating. 10 yr $153.61 if the moat survives secular pressure.
TDW vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TDW
Book avg
Diff
Quality
66
83
-17
Growth
44
89
-45
Value
42
76
-34
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · TDW
Trend
-12.8 over 82 daily scores
From 62.7 (Jun 22) → 49.9 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
TDW at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
-4.0%
Forward EPS estimate
$6.01
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TDW to earn is drifting lower (-4.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · TDW
$
%
%
Shares to buy
23
Position size
$1,965
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$64.06
25% below $85.42
$ at risk if stopped
$491.17
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Tidewater Inc. (TDW): score, valuation & FAQ
Tidewater Inc. (TDW) is an Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company that scores 49.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, TDW sits about 54% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 4% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is TDW a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TDW 49.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Tidewater Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TDW score 49.9 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 66.4 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 42.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TDW earns its highest marks on PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TDW is measured against Oil & Gas Equipment & Services peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is TDW overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $85.42, TDW sits about 54% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 4% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.4x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TDW?
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.