Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

FTI analysis

TechnipFMC plcOil & Gas Equipment & Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

FTI
TechnipFMC plc · Oil & Gas Equipment & Services
FCF$1.6bC+
Rev+9.9%B
D/E0.38B+
P/E27.1xC+
PEG2.18C
54.8Score
$77.45$30.4B
1Y Target$75.81Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$110.99Compound horizon
10Y Target$164.65Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.6bTTM
C+
FCF $1.6b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+9.9%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.38
B+
D/E 0.38 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E27.1x
C+
P/E 27.1 — above the Energy median (≈75th pctile)
PEG2.18
C
PEG 2.18 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 54.8
Quality87.3
Growth50.0
Value37.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
4% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value21% belowest. fair value ~$98
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC32.5% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oil & Gas Equipment & Services · market cap $30.4b. 4% off the 52-week high of $80.55. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $75.81 (implying -2% upside).
Moat
ROE 36% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 134% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $75.81 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $110.99 at ~7% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $164.65 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

FTI vs the Top Picks average

PillarFTIBook avgDiff
Quality0.870.84+0.03
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.380.78-0.41

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.2 over 45 daily scores
From 56.0 (Jun 22) → 54.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+1.5%
90-day change+3.6%
Forward EPS estimate$3.60

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FTI to earn is drifting higher (+3.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,936
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$58.09
25% below $77.45
$ at risk if stopped
$484.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

TechnipFMC plc (FTI): score, valuation & FAQ

TechnipFMC plc (FTI) is a Oil & Gas Equipment & Services company that scores 54.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+). On valuation, FTI sits about 21% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is FTI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores FTI 54.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of TechnipFMC plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does FTI score 54.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). FTI earns its highest marks on D/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is FTI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $77.45, FTI sits about 21% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 27.1x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in FTI?

Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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