Brinker International, Inc. — Restaurants. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
EAT
Brinker International, Inc. · Restaurants
FCF$504mC+
Rev+21.9%A-
D/E4.31D
P/E17.1xB+
PEG0.89B+
75.3Score
$180.63$7.7B
1Y Target$185.89Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$234.68Compound horizon
10Y Target$300.97Long-dated conviction
FCF$504mTTMC+
FCF $504m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+21.9%TTM YoYA-
Revenue +21.9% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E4.31D
D/E 4.31 — most levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈95th pctile)
P/E17.1xB+
P/E 17.1 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.89B+
PEG 0.89 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 75.3
Quality0.77
Growth0.94
Value0.59
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
1% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value6% belowest. fair value ~$191
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability170% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC50.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Restaurants · market cap $7.7b. Trading near 52-week high of $182.42 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. Revenue growing +22%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.89 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $185.89 (implying +3% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 109% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 4.31 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $185.89 (18-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $234.68 at ~5% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $300.97 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · EAT
$
%
%
Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$135.47
25% below $180.63
$ at risk if stopped
$496.73
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT): score, valuation & FAQ
Brinker International, Inc. (EAT) is a Restaurants company that scores 75.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, EAT sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is EAT a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores EAT 75.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Brinker International, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does EAT score 75.3 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EAT earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is EAT overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $180.63, EAT sits about 6% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 17.1x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in EAT?
D/E 4.31 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trading within 1% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.