Kontoor Brands, Inc. — Apparel Manufacturing. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
KTB
Kontoor Brands, Inc. · Apparel Manufacturing
FCF$422mC
Rev+34.3%A
D/E2.06C
P/E16.6xB+
PEG0.65A-
78.1Score
$82.01$4.5B
1Y Target$97.70Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$123.34Compound horizon
10Y Target$158.19Long-dated conviction
FCF$422mTTMC
FCF $422m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+34.3%TTM YoYA
Revenue +34.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E2.06C
D/E 2.06 — more levered than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E16.6xB+
P/E 16.6 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.65est.A-
PEG 0.65 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 78.1
Quality79.6
Growth88.8
Value67.3
Why this score
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
8% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value58% belowest. fair value ~$194
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-6% a year for the next decade — vs the ~24% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability56% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC16.4% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
KTB’s Wrangler and Lee denim lines are riding a 31% YoY revenue surge, powered by a 44.8% ROE that comes from premium pricing in the outdoor‑wear segment and a 15.1× PE that still leaves room for growth. Our model’s 91‑point growth pillar shows the company is a high‑quality compounder, and the 400 M free‑cash‑flow yield of 9.8% underpins a robust buyback engine. The thesis rests on the sustained expansion of its core denim business and the ability to translate that into higher free cash flow.
Moat
The durability of KTB’s advantage lies in its exclusive Wrangler and Lee brand equity, which drives repeat purchases in the workwear and outdoor markets where switching costs are high. These brands command a pricing premium that fuels the 44.8% ROE, and the company’s direct‑to‑consumer and wholesale channels lock in a loyal customer base that competitors cannot replicate quickly.
Risk
Bears point to a 2.06 debt‑to‑equity ratio that could tighten as the company pursues aggressive expansion, and a 0.91 beta that exposes it to broader market swings. The 15.1× PE suggests valuation pressure if revenue growth slows, and the 8.8% profit margin could compress if input costs rise in the denim supply chain. A sharp decline in denim demand would erode the 31% revenue growth that underpins the bull case.
Horizon
1-3 yr $97.70 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $123.34 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $158.19 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
KTB vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
KTB
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.80
0.84
-0.04
Growth
0.89
0.84
+0.05
Value
0.67
0.78
-0.11
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · KTB
Trend
+2.3 over 47 daily scores
From 75.8 (Jun 22) → 78.1 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+3.3%
90-day change
+2.8%
Forward EPS estimate
$6.58
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect KTB to earn is drifting higher (+2.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →
Position sizing · KTB
$
%
%
Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,968
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$61.51
25% below $82.01
$ at risk if stopped
$492.06
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB): score, valuation & FAQ
Kontoor Brands, Inc. (KTB) is a Apparel Manufacturing company that scores 78.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a strong reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, KTB sits about 58% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is KTB a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores KTB 78.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a strong reading. That is driven by Rev (A), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Kontoor Brands, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does KTB score 78.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). KTB earns its highest marks on Rev (A), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is KTB overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $82.01, KTB sits about 58% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -6% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.6x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in KTB?
Bears point to a 2.06 debt‑to‑equity ratio that could tighten as the company pursues aggressive expansion, and a 0.91 beta that exposes it to broader market swings. The 15.1× PE suggests valuation pressure if revenue growth slows, and the 8.8% profit margin could compress if input costs rise in the denim supply chain. A sharp decline in denim demand would erode the 31% revenue growth that underpins the bull case.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.