Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GPI analysis

Group 1 Automotive, Inc.Auto & Truck Dealerships. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GPI
Group 1 Automotive, Inc. · Auto & Truck Dealerships
FCF$166mC
Rev+0.8%C
D/E1.96C+
P/E10.8xA-
PEG0.33A
60.8Score
$261.85$3.1B
1Y Target$371.08Analyst consensus · 12 analysts
5Y Target$468.48Compound horizon
10Y Target$600.82Long-dated conviction
FCF$166mTTM
C
FCF $166m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+0.8%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.8% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E1.96
C+
D/E 1.96 — above the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E10.8x
A-
P/E 10.8 — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.33
A
PEG 0.33 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 60.8
Quality67.8
Growth49.7
Value66.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
46% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value12% belowest. fair value ~$296
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~5% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability34% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC18.3% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Auto & Truck Dealerships · market cap $3.1b. Down 46% from 52-week high of $488.39 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.33 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $371.08 (implying +42% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 1.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $371.08 (12-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $468.48 at ~12% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $600.82 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GPI vs the Top Picks average

PillarGPIBook avgDiff
Quality0.680.84-0.16
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.670.78-0.12

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-14.7 over 47 daily scores
From 75.5 (Jun 22) → 60.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-4.4%
90-day change-6.9%
Forward EPS estimate$44.24

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GPI to earn is materially lower (-6.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
7
Position size
$1,833
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$196.39
25% below $261.85
$ at risk if stopped
$458.24
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI): score, valuation & FAQ

Group 1 Automotive, Inc. (GPI) is a Auto & Truck Dealerships company that scores 60.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A) and P/E (A-). On valuation, GPI sits about 12% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is GPI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GPI 60.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A) and P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Group 1 Automotive, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GPI score 60.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GPI earns its highest marks on PEG (A) and P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GPI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $261.85, GPI sits about 12% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 10.8x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GPI?

Down 46% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 1.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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