Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

DECK analysis

Deckers Outdoor CorpTextiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

DECK
Deckers Outdoor Corp · Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods
FCF$1.1bC+
Rev+9.8%B
D/E0.15A-
P/E14.8xB+
PEG1.51C+
87Score
$106.67
1Y Target$115.20Near-term target
5Y Target$142.75Compound horizon
10Y Target$182.21Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+9.8%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.8% — at or above S&P median · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.15total
A-
D/E 0.15 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E14.8x
B+
P/E 14.8 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG1.51proxy
C+
PEG 1.51 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Textiles, Apparel & Luxury Goods · market cap $15.1b. 16% off the 52-week high of $127.00.
Moat
Net margin 19% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 41% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $115.20 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $142.75 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $182.21 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,920
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$80.00
25% below $106.67
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Analyze another ticker →