★
MELI
MercadoLibre, Inc. · Internet Retail
FCF$11.8bA-
Rev+49.0%A
D/E1.70C
P/E43.9xC
PEG1.03B+
91Score
$1,664.421Y Target$2,230Near-term target
5Y Target$2,681Compound horizon
10Y Target$3,940Long-dated conviction
FCF$11.8bTTM · 03/26A-
FCF $11.8b — top-quartile, exceptional for any sector · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+49.0%TTM YoYA
Revenue +49.0% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E1.70C
D/E 1.70 — elevated leverage, limits flexibility
P/E43.9xC
P/E 43.9 — rich valuation; execution risk material
PEG1.03B+
PEG 1.03 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Why now
Internet Retail · market cap $84.4b. Down 37% from 52-week high of $2645.22 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +49% — in hypergrowth territory. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $2,230 (implying +34% upside).
Moat
ROE 31% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 616% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined. $84.4b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Down 37% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 44x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $2,230 (25-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $2,681 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $3,940 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · MELI
Shares to buy
1
Position size
$1,664
3.3% of portfolio
Stop price
$1,248
25% below $1,664
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.