D/E 0.18 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E9.3xA-
P/E 9.3 — cheaper than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG——
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 63
Quality72.2
Growth50.0
Value69.1
Why this score
Buying back stock
Cut its dividend
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value48% belowest. fair value ~$265
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability33% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.6% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $7.5b. 9% off the 52-week high of $151.95. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $162.71 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 10% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 140% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $162.71 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $238.23 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $353.40 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
CHRD vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
CHRD
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.72
0.84
-0.12
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.69
0.75
-0.06
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.9). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · CHRD
Trend
+18.4 over 40 daily scores
From 44.6 (Jun 22) → 63.0 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · CHRD
$
%
%
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,926
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$103.19
25% below $137.58
$ at risk if stopped
$481.53
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD): score, valuation & FAQ
Chord Energy Corporation (CHRD) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 63 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), P/E (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, CHRD sits about 48% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is CHRD a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores CHRD 63 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), P/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Chord Energy Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does CHRD score 63 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CHRD earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), P/E (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is CHRD overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $137.58, CHRD sits about 48% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 9.3x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in CHRD?
Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.