Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

EOG analysis

EOG Resources, Inc.Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

EOG
EOG Resources, Inc. · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$4.0bB
Rev-4.5%D+
D/E0.27A-
P/E13.5xB+
PEG1.03B+
60.1Score
$133.54$71.1B
1Y Target$158.11Analyst consensus · 27 analysts
5Y Target$199.61Compound horizon
10Y Target$256.00Long-dated conviction
FCF$4.0bTTM · 03/26
B
FCF $4.0b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev-4.5%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -4.5% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.27
A-
D/E 0.27 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E13.5x
B+
P/E 13.5 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.03
B+
PEG 1.03 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 60.1
Quality0.85
Growth0.50
Value0.51
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Revenue shrinking
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
12% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value47% aboveest. fair value ~$91
Quality signals · context only
ROIC14.5% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $71.1b. 12% off the 52-week high of $151.87. 27 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $158.11 (implying +18% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $71.1b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $158.11 (27-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $199.61 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $256.00 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,870
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$100.16
25% below $133.54
$ at risk if stopped
$467.39
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG): score, valuation & FAQ

EOG Resources, Inc. (EOG) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 60.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), while Rev (D+) rate weaker. On valuation, EOG sits about 47% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is EOG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EOG 60.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of EOG Resources, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EOG score 60.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EOG earns its highest marks on D/E (A-), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+), and is held back by Rev (D+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is EOG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $133.54, EOG sits about 47% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 13.5x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in EOG?

Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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