Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

VET analysis

Vermilion Energy Inc.Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

VET
Vermilion Energy Inc. · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$986mC+
Rev+14.1%B+
D/E0.64B
P/S1.4xB+
PEG
65.5Score
$11.03$1.7B
1Y Target$14.89Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$26.04Compound horizon
10Y Target$66.05Long-dated conviction
FCF$986mTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $986m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+14.1%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +14.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.64
B
D/E 0.64 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S1.4x
B+
P/S 1.4x — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG
PEG not meaningful — earnings growth negative or data unavailable

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 65.5
Quality0.66
Growth0.50
Value1.00
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Cyclical growth
  • Short track record
  • Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value93% belowest. fair value ~$151
What the price assumes: outright free-cash-flow decline for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $1.7b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $14.82 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Currently unprofitable (margin -37.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -29% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.89 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $26.04 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $66.05 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+0.8 over 11 daily scores
From 64.7 (Jun 22) → 65.5 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
181
Position size
$1,996
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$8.27
25% below $11.03
$ at risk if stopped
$499.11
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET): score, valuation & FAQ

Vermilion Energy Inc. (VET) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 65.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+) and P/S (B+). On valuation, VET sits about 93% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade.

Is VET a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores VET 65.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Vermilion Energy Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does VET score 65.5 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). VET earns its highest marks on Rev (B+) and P/S (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is VET overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $11.03, VET sits about 93% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies outright free-cash-flow decline over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in VET?

Currently unprofitable (margin -37.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. ROE -29% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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