Bull Rankings model

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) stock analysis

Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
GPOR
Gulfport Energy Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
63.9Score
$162.66Oct 9 close$2.9B
1Y Target$213.31Analyst consensus · 13 analysts
5Y Target$269.30Compound horizon
10Y Target$345.37Long-dated conviction
FCF$250mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $250m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+42.5%FY YoY
A
Revenue +42.5% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.50
B
D/E 0.50 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E6.5x
A
P/E 6.5 — cheapest decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
PEG0.69est.
A-
PEG 0.69 — strong; the growth comes cheap · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 63.9
Quality76.2
Growth50.0
Value68.5
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
28% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value55% belowest. fair value ~$364
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 11% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $2.9b. Down 28% from 52-week high of $225.78 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +43% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.69 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 13 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $213.31 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $213.31 (13-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $269.30 at ~11% CAGR — earnings growth and a modest re-rating. 10 yr $345.37 if the moat survives secular pressure.

GPOR vs the Top Picks average

PillarGPORBook avgDiff
Quality7683-7
Growth5089-39
Value6976-7

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-3.5 over 82 daily scores
From 67.4 (Jun 22) → 63.9 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

GPOR at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD63.9/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY76.2GROWTH50.0VALUE68.5Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$338$407FAIR-VALUE RANGE$163PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$364 · price $163 is 55% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$163LOW $149HIGH $226Trading at the 18th percentile of its 52-week range ($149–$226).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100GPOR 63.9Top 20% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-5.6%
90-day change-11.6%
Forward EPS estimate$25.96

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GPOR to earn is materially lower (-11.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
12
Position size
$1,952
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$122.00
25% below $162.66
$ at risk if stopped
$487.98
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR): score, valuation & FAQ

Gulfport Energy Corporation (GPOR) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 63.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-). On valuation, GPOR sits about 55% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 11% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is GPOR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GPOR 63.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Gulfport Energy Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GPOR score 63.9 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 76.2 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. GPOR earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so GPOR is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is GPOR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $162.66, GPOR sits about 55% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 11% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 6.5x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GPOR?

Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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