Antero Resources Corporation — Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
AR
Antero Resources Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$953mC+
Rev+22.0%A-
D/E0.58B
P/E11.2xB+
PEG0.62A-
63.6Score
$34.49$10.7B
1Y Target$49.30Analyst consensus · 20 analysts
5Y Target$62.24Compound horizon
10Y Target$79.82Long-dated conviction
FCF$953mTTMC+
FCF $953m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+22.0%TTM YoYA-
Revenue +22.0% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.58B
D/E 0.58 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E11.2xB+
P/E 11.2 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.62A-
PEG 0.62 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 63.6
Quality0.65
Growth0.50
Value0.79
Why this score
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
25% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value26% belowest. fair value ~$46
Quality signals · context only
ROIC9.9% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $10.7b. Down 25% from 52-week high of $45.75 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +22%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.62 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 20 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $49.30 (implying +43% upside).
Moat
Net margin 17% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $49.30 (20-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $62.24 at ~13% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $79.82 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · AR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
57
Position size
$1,966
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$25.87
25% below $34.49
$ at risk if stopped
$491.48
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Antero Resources Corporation (AR): score, valuation & FAQ
Antero Resources Corporation (AR) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 63.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, AR sits about 26% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is AR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores AR 63.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Antero Resources Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does AR score 63.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). AR earns its highest marks on Rev (A-), PEG (A-) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is AR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $34.49, AR sits about 26% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 11.2x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in AR?
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.