D/E 0.48 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E16.9xB+
P/E 16.9 — below the Consumer Cyclical median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.12B+
PEG 1.12 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 66.5
Quality0.64
Growth0.94
Value0.57
Why this score
Diluting shareholders
Short track record
Foreign reporter (EUR)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
30% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value9% aboveest. fair value ~$34
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~15% a year for the next decade — vs the ~21% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability25% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.7% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Footwear & Accessories · market cap $6.9b. Down 30% from 52-week high of $53.53 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +15%, comfortably above the S&P median. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $52.29 (implying +40% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $52.29 (21-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $76.56 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $113.57 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
BIRK vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
BIRK
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.64
0.84
-0.20
Growth
0.94
0.92
+0.02
Value
0.57
0.75
-0.18
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · BIRK
Trend
+4.6 over 36 daily scores
From 61.9 (Jun 22) → 66.5 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · BIRK
$
%
%
Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,986
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$28.11
25% below $37.48
$ at risk if stopped
$496.61
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Birkenstock Holding plc (BIRK) is a Footwear & Accessories company that scores 66.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, BIRK sits about 9% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is BIRK a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores BIRK 66.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Birkenstock Holding plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does BIRK score 66.5 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BIRK earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is BIRK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $37.48, BIRK sits about 9% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 16.9x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in BIRK?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.