Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BCO analysis

Brinks Company (The)Security & Protection Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

BCO
Brinks Company (The) · Security & Protection Services
FCF$313mC
Rev+8.1%B
D/E
P/E25.8xB
PEG1.16B+
68.1Score
$111.43$4.6B
1Y Target$128.14Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$187.62Compound horizon
10Y Target$278.32Long-dated conviction
FCF$313mTTM
C
FCF $313m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+8.1%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E25.8x
B
P/E 25.8 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.16
B+
PEG 1.16 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.1
Quality66.6
Growth63.4
Value74.9
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value17% belowest. fair value ~$134
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability20% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.0% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $4.6b. 18% off the 52-week high of $136.37.
Moat
ROE 58% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 173% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Net margin 3.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $128.14 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $187.62 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $278.32 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

BCO vs the Top Picks average

PillarBCOBook avgDiff
Quality0.670.84-0.17
Growth0.630.84-0.20
Value0.750.78-0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.1 over 45 daily scores
From 67.0 (Jun 22) → 68.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-2.2%
90-day change-2.2%
Forward EPS estimate$10.35

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect BCO to earn is drifting lower (-2.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,894
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$83.57
25% below $111.43
$ at risk if stopped
$473.58
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Brinks Company (The) (BCO): score, valuation & FAQ

Brinks Company (The) (BCO) is a Security & Protection Services company that scores 68.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (B+). On valuation, BCO sits about 17% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is BCO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BCO 68.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Brinks Company (The)'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BCO score 68.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BCO earns its highest marks on PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BCO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $111.43, BCO sits about 17% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 25.8x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BCO?

Net margin 3.3% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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