1Y Target$30.62Near-term target
5Y Target$45.62Compound horizon
10Y Target$118.70Long-dated conviction
FCF-$31mTTM · 03/26FFCF is negative (-$31m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+13.0%TTM YoYB+Revenue +13.0% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.10totalC+D/E 1.10 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/S1.2xA-P/S 1.2x — cheap for any tech/growth name
PEG0.89proxyB+PEG 0.89 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0) · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Commercial Services & Supplies · market cap $3.1b. 19% off the 52-week high of $27.90. Revenue growing +13%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.89 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
ROE 18% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$31m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk.
Horizon
1-3 yr $30.62 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $45.62 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $118.70 — return distribution heavily skewed.
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