Allegion plc — Security & Protection Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.
★
ALLE
Allegion plc · Security & Protection Services
FCF$683mC+
Rev+7.8%B
D/E1.06C+
P/E18.5xA-
PEG2.15C
73.1Score
$135.07$11.6B
1Y Target$165.18Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$241.84Compound horizon
10Y Target$358.76Long-dated conviction
FCF$683mTTMC+
FCF $683m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+7.8%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.8% — at or above S&P median
D/E1.06C+
D/E 1.06 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E18.5xA-
P/E 18.5 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG2.15C
PEG 2.15 — expensive relative to growth rate
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 73.1
Quality0.82
Growth0.77
Value0.62
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value10% belowest. fair value ~$150
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC16.4% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $11.6b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $183.11 — deep drawdown territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $165.18 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 30% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 108% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $165.18 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $241.84 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $358.76 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Position sizing · ALLE
$
%
%
Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,891
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$101.30
25% below $135.07
$ at risk if stopped
$472.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Allegion plc (ALLE): score, valuation & FAQ
Allegion plc (ALLE) is a Security & Protection Services company that scores 73.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-). On valuation, ALLE sits about 10% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety).
Is ALLE a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores ALLE 73.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Allegion plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does ALLE score 73.1 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ALLE earns its highest marks on P/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is ALLE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $135.07, ALLE sits about 10% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety). It trades at a 18.5x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in ALLE?
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.