Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MSA analysis

MSA Safety IncorporatedSecurity & Protection Services. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

MSA
MSA Safety Incorporated · Security & Protection Services
FCF$309mC
Rev+3.7%C+
D/E0.49B+
P/E22.6xB+
PEG0.99B+
74.3Score
$167.85$6.5B
1Y Target$205.71Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$259.71Compound horizon
10Y Target$333.07Long-dated conviction
FCF$309mTTM
C
FCF $309m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+3.7%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.7% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.49
B+
D/E 0.49 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E22.6x
B+
P/E 22.6 — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.99
B+
PEG 0.99 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 74.3
Quality0.80
Growth0.67
Value0.77
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
20% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value18% aboveest. fair value ~$142
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability35% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC15.5% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Security & Protection Services · market cap $6.5b. 20% off the 52-week high of $208.92. PEG 0.99 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $205.71 (implying +23% upside).
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 21% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 107% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $205.71 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $259.71 at ~9% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $333.07 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,846
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$125.89
25% below $167.85
$ at risk if stopped
$461.59
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA): score, valuation & FAQ

MSA Safety Incorporated (MSA) is a Security & Protection Services company that scores 74.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, MSA sits about 18% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is MSA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MSA 74.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of MSA Safety Incorporated's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MSA score 74.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MSA earns its highest marks on D/E (B+), P/E (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MSA overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $167.85, MSA sits about 18% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 22.6x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MSA?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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