Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ACI analysis

Albertsons Companies, Inc.Grocery Stores. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ACI
Albertsons Companies, Inc. · Grocery Stores
FCF$527mC+
Rev+3.5%C+
D/E9.74D
P/E77.4xD
PEG1.27B
46.0Score
$12.38$6.0B
1Y Target$14.19Analyst consensus · 16 analysts
5Y Target$20.77Compound horizon
10Y Target$30.81Long-dated conviction
FCF$527mTTM
C+
FCF $527m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+3.5%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +3.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E9.74
D
D/E 9.74 — most levered decile in Consumer Defensive (≈95th pctile)
P/E77.4x
D
P/E 77.4 — most expensive decile in Consumer Defensive (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.27
B
PEG 1.27 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 46
Quality53.1
Growth42.3
Value43.5
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
38% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value23% belowest. fair value ~$16
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-3% a year for the next decade — vs the ~3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability84% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC5.0% · C+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Grocery Stores · market cap $6.0b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $20.00 — deep drawdown territory. 16 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $14.19 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
ROE 13% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
D/E 9.74 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 77.4x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $14.19 (16-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $20.77 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $30.81 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ACI vs the Top Picks average

PillarACIBook avgDiff
Quality0.530.84-0.31
Growth0.420.84-0.42
Value0.430.78-0.35

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.8 over 47 daily scores
From 46.8 (Jun 22) → 46.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-24.4%
90-day change-24.9%
Forward EPS estimate$1.85

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ACI to earn is materially lower (-24.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
161
Position size
$1,993
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$9.29
25% below $12.38
$ at risk if stopped
$498.30
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI): score, valuation & FAQ

Albertsons Companies, Inc. (ACI) is a Grocery Stores company that scores 46 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags D/E (D) and P/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, ACI sits about 23% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ACI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ACI 46 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Albertsons Companies, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ACI score 46 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). ACI grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by D/E (D) and P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is ACI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $12.38, ACI sits about 23% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -3% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 77.4x P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ACI?

D/E 9.74 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 77.4x prices in sustained high growth — any quarter that disappoints triggers sharp re-rating. Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

More Discount & Grocery Stores stocks by score

All Consumer Defensive rankings →

Analyze another ticker →