D/E 1.44 — above the Consumer Defensive debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E15.3xA-
P/E 15.3 — cheaper than most Consumer Defensive peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.19B+
PEG 1.19 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 71
Quality0.76
Growth0.78
Value0.61
Why this score
Buying back stock
Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
53% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value3% belowest. fair value ~$82
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~4% a year for the next decade — vs the ~6% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability81% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC28.1% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Grocery Stores · market cap $7.6b. Down 53% from 52-week high of $171.15 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +14%, comfortably above the S&P median. 14 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $92.43 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 53% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $92.43 (14-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $135.32 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $200.74 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Score history · SFM
Trend
-0.9 over 15 daily scores
From 71.9 (Jun 22) → 71.0 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · SFM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
24
Position size
$1,929
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$60.28
25% below $80.38
$ at risk if stopped
$482.28
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM): score, valuation & FAQ
Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc. (SFM) is a Grocery Stores company that scores 71 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). On valuation, SFM sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is SFM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores SFM 71 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by P/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Sprouts Farmers Market, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does SFM score 71 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SFM earns its highest marks on P/E (A-), Rev (B+) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is SFM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $80.38, SFM sits about 3% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 4% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 15.3x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in SFM?
Down 53% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.