Bull Rankings model

YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) stock analysis

Leisure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
YETI
YETI Holdings, Inc. · Leisure
66.3Score
$39.79Oct 9 close$2.9B
1Y Target$54.93Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$80.43Compound horizon
10Y Target$119.31Long-dated conviction
FCF$257mTTM · 04/26
C
FCF $257m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 04/26.
Rev+6.2%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +6.2% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.42
B+
D/E 0.42 — below the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E17.4x
B
P/E 17.4 — near the Consumer Cyclical median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.27
B
PEG 1.27 — acceptable premium for growth

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 66.3
Quality90.3
Growth50.0
Value64.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value1% belowest. fair value ~$40
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~11% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability88% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC26.2% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Leisure · market cap $2.9b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $53.99 — deep drawdown territory. 15 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $54.93 (implying +38% upside).
Moat
ROE 29% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 144% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Beta 1.68 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $54.93 (15-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $80.43 at ~15% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $119.31 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

YETI vs the Top Picks average

PillarYETIBook avgDiff
Quality9083+7
Growth5089-39
Value6576-11

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+4.0 over 82 daily scores
From 62.3 (Jun 22) → 66.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

YETI at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD66.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY90.3GROWTH50.0VALUE64.7Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~8% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$36.6$45.4FAIR-VALUE RANGE$39.8PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$40.1 · price $39.8 is 1% below it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100YETI 66.3Top 15% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+23%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.4%
90-day change+1.3%
Forward EPS estimate$3.35

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect YETI to earn is drifting higher (+1.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
50
Position size
$1,990
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$29.84
25% below $39.79
$ at risk if stopped
$497.38
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI): score, valuation & FAQ

YETI Holdings, Inc. (YETI) is a Leisure company that scores 66.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (B+). On valuation, YETI sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is YETI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores YETI 66.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of YETI Holdings, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does YETI score 66.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 90.3 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. YETI earns its highest marks on D/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so YETI is measured against Leisure peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is YETI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $39.79, YETI sits close to our DCF fair-value estimate (within a few percent) — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 8% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 17.4x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in YETI?

Beta 1.68 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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