Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

WPM analysis

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.Gold. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Gold & Precious Metals
WPM
Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. · Gold
FCF$1.0bC+
Rev+80.2%A
D/E0.00A
P/E29.6xC+
PEG0.43A
63.1Score
$133.39$60.6B
1Y Target$172.25Analyst consensus · 10 analysts
5Y Target$217.46Compound horizon
10Y Target$278.89Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.0bTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $1.0b — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+80.2%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +80.2% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.00
A
D/E 0.00 — least levered decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
P/E29.6x
C+
P/E 29.6 — above the Basic Materials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG0.43
A
PEG 0.43 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63.1
Quality0.82
Growth0.50
Value0.61
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
20% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value305% aboveest. fair value ~$33
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~44% a year for the next decade — vs the ~10% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC14.4% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Gold · market cap $60.6b. 20% off the 52-week high of $165.76. Revenue growing +80% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.43 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 10 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $172.25 (implying +29% upside).
Moat
Net margin 64% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 17% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. $60.6b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
P/S 26.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $172.25 (10-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $217.46 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $278.89 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

WPM vs the Top Picks average

PillarWPMBook avgDiff
Quality0.820.83in line
Growth0.500.92-0.42
Value0.610.75-0.13

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-5.1 over 37 daily scores
From 68.2 (Jun 22) → 63.1 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
14
Position size
$1,867
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$100.04
25% below $133.39
$ at risk if stopped
$466.86
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM): score, valuation & FAQ

Wheaton Precious Metals Corp. (WPM) is a Gold company that scores 63.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A). On valuation, WPM sits about 305% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 44% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is WPM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores WPM 63.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Wheaton Precious Metals Corp.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does WPM score 63.1 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). WPM earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is WPM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $133.39, WPM sits about 305% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 44% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 29.6x× P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in WPM?

P/S 26.2x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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