United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) stock analysis
Building Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
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USLM
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · Building Materials
49.6Score
$108.58Oct 9 close$3.1B
1Y Target$124.87Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$182.82Compound horizon
10Y Target$271.20Long-dated conviction
FCF$92mTTM · 06/26C-
FCF $92m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+7.0%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +7.0% — steady but below market-beating range · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.00A
D/E 0.00 — least levered decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
P/E23.3xC+
P/E 23.3 — above the Basic Materials median (≈75th pctile)
PEG1.77est.C+
PEG 1.77 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 49.6
Quality87.6
Growth50.0
Value27.9
Why this score
Durable high returns
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
23% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value35% aboveest. fair value ~$80
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~13% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability24% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC17.3% · A-return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Building Materials · market cap $3.1b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $141.44 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 19% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $124.87 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $182.82 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $271.20 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
USLM vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
USLM
Book avg
Diff
Quality
88
83
+5
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
28
76
-48
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · USLM
Trend
-5.7 over 82 daily scores
From 55.3 (Jun 22) → 49.6 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
USLM at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
-2.4%
Forward EPS estimate
$5.70
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect USLM to earn is drifting lower (-2.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · USLM
$
%
%
Shares to buy
18
Position size
$1,954
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$81.44
25% below $108.58
$ at risk if stopped
$488.61
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM): score, valuation & FAQ
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) is a Building Materials company that scores 49.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, USLM sits about 35% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is USLM a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores USLM 49.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does USLM score 49.6 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 87.6 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 27.9 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. USLM earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so USLM is measured against Building Materials peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $108.58, USLM sits about 35% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 23.3x P/E (graded C+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in USLM?
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.