Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

USLM analysis

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.Building Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

USLM
United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. · Building Materials
FCF$92mC-
Rev+7.0%C+
D/E0.00A
P/E25.5xB
PEG1.96C+
52.0Score
$118.89$3.4B
1Y Target$136.72Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$200.18Compound horizon
10Y Target$296.95Long-dated conviction
FCF$92mTTM
C-
FCF $92m — barely positive; fragile cash position
Rev+7.0%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +7.0% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.00
A
D/E 0.00 — least levered decile in Basic Materials (≈10th pctile)
P/E25.5x
B
P/E 25.5 — near the Basic Materials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.96est.
C+
PEG 1.96 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 52
Quality88.3
Growth50.0
Value31.8
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value57% aboveest. fair value ~$76
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~19% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability24% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC17.3% · A-return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Building Materials · market cap $3.4b. 16% off the 52-week high of $141.44.
Moat
Net margin 36% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $136.72 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $200.18 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $296.95 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

USLM vs the Top Picks average

PillarUSLMBook avgDiff
Quality0.880.84+0.04
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.320.78-0.46

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.3 over 47 daily scores
From 55.3 (Jun 22) → 52.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-2.4%
90-day change-7.8%
Forward EPS estimate$5.70

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect USLM to earn is materially lower (-7.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
16
Position size
$1,902
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$89.17
25% below $118.89
$ at risk if stopped
$475.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM): score, valuation & FAQ

United States Lime & Minerals, Inc. (USLM) is a Building Materials company that scores 52 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A), while FCF (C-) rate weaker. On valuation, USLM sits about 57% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is USLM a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores USLM 52 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of United States Lime & Minerals, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does USLM score 52 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). USLM earns its highest marks on D/E (A), and is held back by FCF (C-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is USLM overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $118.89, USLM sits about 57% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 19% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 25.5x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in USLM?

Jurisdictional + permitting risk — mining and extraction operations concentrate exposure to political stability, royalty regimes, and environmental review timelines that can stall production for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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