Bull Rankings model

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS) stock analysis

Building Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
TGLS
Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. · Building Materials
50.1Score
$37.57Oct 9 close$1.7B
1Y Target$55.75Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$97.51Compound horizon
10Y Target$174.26Long-dated conviction
FCF-$9mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$9m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+9.9%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.29
B
D/E 0.29 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S*1.6x
B+
P/S 1.6x — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG*—
—
PEG n/a — analysts expect next year's earnings to be no higher than last year's

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

* PEG n/a — analysts expect next year's earnings to be no higher than last year's

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 50.1
Quality73.8
Growth50.0
Value34.1
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
42% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC14.9% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Building Materials · market cap $1.7b. Down 42% from 52-week high of $65.33 — deep drawdown territory. 4 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $55.75 (implying +48% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 16% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$9m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 42% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.42 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $55.75 (4-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $97.51 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $174.26 — return distribution heavily skewed.

TGLS vs the Top Picks average

PillarTGLSBook avgDiff
Quality7483-9
Growth5089-39
Value3476-42

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-13.3 over 82 daily scores
From 63.4 (Jun 22) → 50.1 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

TGLS at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD50.1/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY73.8GROWTH50.0VALUE34.1
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$37.6LOW $34.1HIGH $65.3Trading near its 52-week low ($34.1–$65.3).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock-39%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100TGLS 50.1Top 48% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.8%
90-day change-4.7%
Forward EPS estimate$3.40

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TGLS to earn is drifting lower (-4.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
53
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$28.18
25% below $37.57
$ at risk if stopped
$497.80
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS): score, valuation & FAQ

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS) is a Building Materials company that scores 50.1 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is TGLS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TGLS 50.1 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TGLS score 50.1 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 73.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 34.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TGLS earns its highest marks on P/S (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TGLS is measured against Building Materials peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is TGLS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for TGLS — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in TGLS?

Free cash flow is negative (-$9m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 42% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.42 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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