★
TGLS
Tecnoglass Inc · Building
FCF$7mC-
Rev+19.0%B+
D/E0.24A-
P/E12.2xB+
PEG0.64A-
81Score
$41.161Y Target$44.45Near-term target
5Y Target$55.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$70.31Long-dated conviction
FCF$7mTTM · 03/26C-
FCF $7m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+19.0%TTM YoYB+
Revenue +19.0% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E0.24totalA-
D/E 0.24 — conservative leverage, strong balance sheet · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E12.2xB+
P/E 12.2 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG0.64proxyA-
PEG 0.64 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Building · market cap $1.8b. Down 54% from 52-week high of $90.34 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.64 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 15% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 20% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 54% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.42 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $44.45 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $55.08 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $70.31 if the moat survives secular pressure.
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Position sizing · TGLS
Shares to buy
48
Position size
$1,976
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$30.87
25% below $41.16
$ at risk
$500.00
1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.