Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

TGLS analysis

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.Building Materials. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

TGLS
Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. · Building Materials
FCF-$9mF
Rev+9.9%B
D/E0.29B+
P/S1.7xB+
PEG0.73A-
60.2Score
$41.03$1.8B
1Y Target$56.33Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$98.53Compound horizon
10Y Target$176.09Long-dated conviction
FCF-$9mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$9m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev+9.9%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.9% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.29
B+
D/E 0.29 — below the Basic Materials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S1.7x
B+
P/S 1.7x — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG0.73
A-
PEG 0.73 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 60.2
Quality74.0
Growth50.0
Value59.0
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
45% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability29% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC14.9% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Building Materials · market cap $1.8b. Down 45% from 52-week high of $74.02 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.73 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 3 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $56.33 (implying +37% upside).
Moat
Net margin 12% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 16% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$9m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $56.33 (3-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $98.53 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $176.09 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

TGLS vs the Top Picks average

PillarTGLSBook avgDiff
Quality0.740.84-0.10
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.590.78-0.19

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-3.2 over 47 daily scores
From 63.4 (Jun 22) → 60.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-3.9%
90-day change-3.9%
Forward EPS estimate$3.43

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TGLS to earn is drifting lower (-3.9%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
48
Position size
$1,969
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$30.77
25% below $41.03
$ at risk if stopped
$492.36
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS): score, valuation & FAQ

Tecnoglass Holdings Inc. (TGLS) is a Building Materials company that scores 60.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+), while FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is TGLS a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TGLS 60.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Tecnoglass Holdings Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TGLS score 60.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TGLS earns its highest marks on PEG (A-), D/E (B+) and P/S (B+), and is held back by FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is TGLS overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for TGLS — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in TGLS?

Free cash flow is negative (-$9m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Down 45% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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