Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

UI analysis

Ubiquiti Inc.Communication Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

UI
Ubiquiti Inc. · Communication Equipment
FCF$741mC+
Rev+33.3%A
D/E0.06A-
P/E34.3xB
PEG1.10B+
67.9Score
$533.23$32.3B
1Y Target$613.21Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$897.81Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,332Long-dated conviction
FCF$741mTTM
C+
FCF $741m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+33.3%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +33.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.06
A-
D/E 0.06 — less debt than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E34.3x
B
P/E 34.3 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG1.10
B+
PEG 1.10 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 67.9
Quality0.89
Growth0.86
Value0.41
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
52% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value197% aboveest. fair value ~$180
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~38% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability83% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC72.7% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Communication Equipment · market cap $32.3b. Down 52% from 52-week high of $1099.99 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +33% — in hypergrowth territory.
Moat
Net margin 30% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 78% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 10.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.
Horizon
1-3 yr $613.21 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $897.81 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,332 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
+2.3 over 31 daily scores
From 65.6 (Jun 22) → 67.9 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
3
Position size
$1,600
3.2% of portfolio
Stop price
$399.92
25% below $533.23
$ at risk if stopped
$399.92
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI): score, valuation & FAQ

Ubiquiti Inc. (UI) is a Communication Equipment company that scores 67.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, UI sits about 197% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 38% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is UI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores UI 67.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Ubiquiti Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does UI score 67.9 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). UI earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is UI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $533.23, UI sits about 197% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 38% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 34.3x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in UI?

Down 52% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 34x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates. P/S 10.4x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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