Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MSI analysis

Motorola Solutions, Inc.Communication Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

MSI
Motorola Solutions, Inc. · Communication Equipment
FCF$2.5bB
Rev+8.3%B
D/E3.74D
P/E35.2xB
PEG2.35C
57.2Score
$437.19$72.6B
1Y Target$507.00Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$742.30Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,101Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.5bTTM
B
FCF $2.5b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+8.3%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +8.3% — at or above S&P median
D/E3.74
D
D/E 3.74 — most levered decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
P/E35.2x
B
P/E 35.2 — near the Technology median (≈60th pctile)
PEG2.35
C
PEG 2.35 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.2
Quality0.83
Growth0.79
Value0.29
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value55% aboveest. fair value ~$282
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability32% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC21.0% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Communication Equipment · market cap $72.6b. 11% off the 52-week high of $492.22. 11 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $507.00 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 82% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 119% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
D/E 3.74 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $507.00 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $742.30 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,101 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MSI vs the Top Picks average

PillarMSIBook avgDiff
Quality0.830.83in line
Growth0.790.91-0.12
Value0.290.75-0.46

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.5 over 34 daily scores
From 58.7 (Jun 22) → 57.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
4
Position size
$1,749
3.5% of portfolio
Stop price
$327.89
25% below $437.19
$ at risk if stopped
$437.19
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI): score, valuation & FAQ

Motorola Solutions, Inc. (MSI) is a Communication Equipment company that scores 57.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags D/E (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, MSI sits about 55% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is MSI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MSI 57.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Motorola Solutions, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MSI score 57.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MSI grades middle-of-pack across the strip, and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MSI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $437.19, MSI sits about 55% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 35.2x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MSI?

D/E 3.74 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Trailing P/E 35x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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