1Y Target$121.93Near-term target
5Y Target$170.76Compound horizon
10Y Target$251.01Long-dated conviction
FCF$219mTTM · 12/25CFCF $219m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 12/25).
Rev+10.3%TTM YoYBRevenue +10.3% — at or above S&P median · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.02totalC+D/E 1.02 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E17.5xB+P/E 17.5 — at or below S&P median, reasonable
PEG1.69proxyC+PEG 1.69 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).
Why now
Electrical Equipment · market cap $4.1b. Down 34% from 52-week high of $159.99 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median.
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $121.93 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $170.76 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $251.01 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
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