Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

BDC analysis

Belden IncElectrical Equipment. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

BDC
Belden Inc · Electrical Equipment
FCF$180mC
Rev+9.3%B
D/E1.02C+
P/E18.4xB
PEG1.99C+
59.6Score
$117.11$4.4B
1Y Target$134.68Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$197.18Compound horizon
10Y Target$292.50Long-dated conviction
FCF$180mTTM · 03/26
C
FCF $180m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+9.3%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.3% — at or above S&P median · TTM YoY from trailing-4-quarter revenue sum vs prior 4 quarters.
D/E1.02total
C+
D/E 1.02 — moderately levered, watch interest coverage · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E18.4x
B
P/E 18.4 — moderate premium, defensible with growth
PEG1.99proxy
C+
PEG 1.99 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 59.6
Quality0.65
Growth0.66
Value0.50
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
27% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value59% aboveest. fair value ~$73
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~18% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Electrical Equipment · market cap $4.4b. Down 27% from 52-week high of $159.99 — deep drawdown territory.
Moat
ROE 19% sits above Buffett's preferred 15% threshold — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $134.68 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $197.18 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $292.50 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-4.7 over 29 daily scores
From 64.3 (Jun 22) → 59.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$87.83
25% below $117.11
$ at risk if stopped
$497.72
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Belden Inc (BDC): score, valuation & FAQ

Belden Inc (BDC) is a Electrical Equipment company that scores 59.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

On valuation, BDC sits about 59% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is BDC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores BDC 59.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of Belden Inc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does BDC score 59.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). BDC grades middle-of-pack across the strip. Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is BDC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $117.11, BDC sits about 59% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 18.4x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in BDC?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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