Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

UAA analysis

Under Armour, Inc.Apparel Manufacturing. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

UAA
Under Armour, Inc. · Apparel Manufacturing
FCF-$81mF
Rev-3.6%D+
D/E0.96B
P/S0.5xA-
PEG1.21B
23.6Score
$5.39$2.3B
1Y Target$6.40Analyst consensus · 18 analysts
5Y Target$11.19Compound horizon
10Y Target$20.00Long-dated conviction
FCF-$81mTTM
F
FCF is negative (-$81m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names
Rev-3.6%TTM YoY
D+
Revenue -3.6% — shrinking; needs a catalyst to reverse
D/E0.96
B
D/E 0.96 — near the Consumer Cyclical debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/S0.5x
A-
P/S 0.5x — cheaper than most Consumer Cyclical peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.21
B
PEG 1.21 — acceptable premium for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 23.6
Quality24.2
Growth14.1
Value38.5
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
34% off the 12-month high
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability56% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC-4.7% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Apparel Manufacturing · market cap $2.3b. Down 34% from 52-week high of $8.15 — deep drawdown territory. 18 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $6.40 (implying +19% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$81m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -10.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $6.40 (18-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $11.19 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $20.00 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

UAA vs the Top Picks average

PillarUAABook avgDiff
Quality0.240.84-0.60
Growth0.140.84-0.70
Value0.380.78-0.40

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.2 over 47 daily scores
From 21.4 (Jun 22) → 23.6 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-16.9%
90-day change-19.0%
Forward EPS estimate$0.20

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect UAA to earn is materially lower (-19.0%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
371
Position size
$2,000
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$4.04
25% below $5.39
$ at risk if stopped
$499.92
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Under Armour, Inc. (UAA): score, valuation & FAQ

Under Armour, Inc. (UAA) is a Apparel Manufacturing company that scores 23.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-), while Rev (D+) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is UAA a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores UAA 23.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/S (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Under Armour, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does UAA score 23.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). UAA earns its highest marks on P/S (A-), and is held back by Rev (D+) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is UAA overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for UAA — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in UAA?

Free cash flow is negative (-$81m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -10.0%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Down 34% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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