Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) stock analysis
Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
TIGO
Millicom International Cellular S.A. · Telecom Services
50.3Score
$79.48Oct 9 close$13.3B
1Y Target$98.39Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$124.21Compound horizon
10Y Target$159.30Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bFY · 12/25C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating · From the fiscal year ended 12/25 in SEC filings (OCF − CapEx) — this company files no quarterly cash-flow series, so a trailing-twelve-month figure can't be assembled.
Rev+0.3%FY YoYC
Revenue +0.3% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E4.85D
D/E 4.85 — most levered decile in Communication Services (≈95th pctile)
P/E22.2xB
P/E 22.2 — near the Communication Services median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.31A
PEG 0.31 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 50.3
Quality75.4
Growth46.7
Value36.1
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
26% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value32% belowest. fair value ~$116
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability26% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC12.3% · B+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $13.3b. Down 26% from 52-week high of $107.13 — deep drawdown territory. PEG 0.31 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $98.39 (implying +24% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 38% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
D/E 4.85 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
Horizon
1-3 yr $98.39 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $124.21 at ~9% CAGR — dividend compounding plus earnings growth. 10 yr $159.30 if the moat survives secular pressure.
TIGO vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TIGO
Book avg
Diff
Quality
75
83
-8
Growth
47
89
-42
Value
36
76
-40
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · TIGO
Trend
+7.7 over 82 daily scores
From 42.6 (Jun 22) → 50.3 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
TIGO at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+0.0%
90-day change
-1.3%
Forward EPS estimate
$7.05
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TIGO to earn is drifting lower (-1.3%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · TIGO
$
%
%
Shares to buy
25
Position size
$1,987
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$59.61
25% below $79.48
$ at risk if stopped
$496.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO): score, valuation & FAQ
Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) is a Telecom Services company that scores 50.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, TIGO sits about 32% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.
Is TIGO a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TIGO 50.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Millicom International Cellular S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TIGO score 50.3 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 75.4 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 36.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. TIGO earns its highest marks on PEG (A), and is held back by D/E (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TIGO is measured against Telecom Services peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is TIGO overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $79.48, TIGO sits about 32% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 3% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 22.2x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TIGO?
D/E 4.85 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.