Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

TIGO analysis

Millicom International Cellular S.A.Telecom Services. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

TIGO
Millicom International Cellular S.A. · Telecom Services
FCF$1.1bC+
Rev+0.3%C
D/E3.75C
P/E12.6xA-
PEG0.75A-
58Score
$91.79$15.4B
1Y Target$88.42Analyst consensus · 8 analysts
5Y Target$111.63Compound horizon
10Y Target$143.17Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bTTM
C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+0.3%TTM YoY
C
Revenue +0.3% — flat, mature phase or headwinds present
D/E3.75
C
D/E 3.75 — more levered than most Communication Services peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E12.6x
A-
P/E 12.6 — cheaper than most Communication Services peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.75
A-
PEG 0.75 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 58
Quality0.76
Growth0.38
Value0.68
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
9% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value44% belowest. fair value ~$165
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~0% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability26% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC12.3% · B+return on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Telecom Services · market cap $15.4b. 9% off the 52-week high of $100.75. PEG 0.75 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 8 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $88.42 (implying -4% upside).
Moat
Net margin 23% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 38% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
D/E 3.75 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.
Horizon
1-3 yr $88.42 (8-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $111.63 at ~4% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $143.17 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

TIGO vs the Top Picks average

PillarTIGOBook avgDiff
Quality0.760.84-0.08
Growth0.380.92-0.54
Value0.680.75-0.07

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.6). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+15.4 over 36 daily scores
From 42.6 (Jun 22) → 58.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
21
Position size
$1,928
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$68.84
25% below $91.79
$ at risk if stopped
$481.90
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO): score, valuation & FAQ

Millicom International Cellular S.A. (TIGO) is a Telecom Services company that scores 58 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, TIGO sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 0% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is TIGO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores TIGO 58 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Millicom International Cellular S.A.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does TIGO score 58 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). TIGO earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is TIGO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $91.79, TIGO sits about 44% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly 0% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.6x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in TIGO?

D/E 3.75 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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