Copper. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
TECK
Teck Resources Limited · Copper
47.9Score
$68.05Oct 9 close$33.4B
1Y Target$55.09Analyst consensus · 4 analysts
5Y Target$80.65Compound horizon
10Y Target$119.64Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.4bTTM · 06/26C+
FCF $1.4b — respectable but not differentiating · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+18.7%FY YoYB+
Revenue +18.7% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest fiscal year vs the prior one, from SEC filings — a trailing-twelve-month comparison couldn't be assembled from this company's filings.
D/E0.34B
D/E 0.34 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E18.5xB
P/E 18.5 — near the Basic Materials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG3.97D
PEG 3.97 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 47.9
Quality54.2
Growth50.0
Value47.2
Why this score
Buying back stock
Cut its dividend
Cyclical growth
Foreign reporter (CAD)
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
6% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value152% aboveest. fair value ~$27
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 29% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~4% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability6% · Cgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC5.9% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Copper · market cap $33.4b. 6% off the 52-week high of $72.56. Revenue growing +19%, comfortably above the S&P median. 4 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $55.09 (implying -19% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Beta 1.65 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.
Horizon
1-3 yr $55.09 (4-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $80.65 at ~3% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $119.64 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
TECK vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
TECK
Book avg
Diff
Quality
54
83
-29
Growth
50
89
-39
Value
47
76
-29
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · TECK
Trend
+13.1 over 82 daily scores
From 34.8 (Jun 22) → 47.9 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
TECK at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
+3.6%
90-day change
+19.2%
Forward EPS estimate
$3.74
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect TECK to earn is materially higher (+19.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · TECK
$
%
%
Shares to buy
29
Position size
$1,973
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$51.04
25% below $68.05
$ at risk if stopped
$493.36
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Teck Resources Limited (TECK) is a Copper company that scores 47.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, TECK sits about 152% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 29% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is TECK a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores TECK 47.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Teck Resources Limited's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does TECK score 47.9 on Bull Rankings?
It grades evenly across the three pillars — quality 54.2, growth 50.0, value 47.2 out of 100 — so no single pillar is carrying the score. TECK earns its highest marks on Rev (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so TECK is measured against Copper peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is TECK overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $68.05, TECK sits about 152% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 29% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at an 18.5x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in TECK?
Beta 1.65 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE 4% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate. Commodity exposure — earnings power tracks the price of the underlying commodity, not management execution. A 15-20% move in the commodity reprices the equity well before fundamentals catch up.