Bull Rankings model

RXO, Inc. (RXO) stock analysis

Trucking. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
RXO
RXO, Inc. · Trucking
23.3Score
$29.08Oct 9 close$4.8B
1Y Target$27.04Analyst consensus · 14 analysts
5Y Target$47.29Compound horizon
10Y Target$84.51Long-dated conviction
FCF-$76mTTM · 06/26
F
FCF is negative (-$76m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+9.5%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.5% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.48
B+
D/E 0.48 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/S*0.8x
A-
P/S 0.8x — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG172.13
D
PEG 172.13 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

* P/S replaces P/E — no positive earnings to divide by

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 23.3
Quality26.2
Growth68.7
Value7.0
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
3% off the 12-month high
Quality signals
ROIC-3.9% · Freturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Trucking · market cap $4.8b. Trading near 52-week high of $29.90 — momentum setup, limited technical margin of safety. 14 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $27.04 (implying -7% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$76m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -1.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.
Horizon
1-3 yr $27.04 (14-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $47.29 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $84.51 — return distribution heavily skewed.

RXO vs the Top Picks average

PillarRXOBook avgDiff
Quality2683-57
Growth6989-20
Value776-69

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
-0.1 over 82 daily scores
From 23.4 (Jun 22) → 23.3 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

RXO at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD23.3/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY26.2GROWTH68.7VALUE7.0
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$29.1LOW $10.4HIGH $29.9Trading near its 52-week high ($10.4–$29.9).
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+74%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100RXO 23.3Ranks above 12% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+6.6%
90-day change+22.2%
Forward EPS estimate$0.64

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect RXO to earn is materially higher (+22.2%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
68
Position size
$1,977
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$21.81
25% below $29.08
$ at risk if stopped
$494.36
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

RXO, Inc. (RXO): score, valuation & FAQ

RXO, Inc. (RXO) is a Trucking company that scores 23.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A-) and D/E (B+), while PEG (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.

Is RXO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores RXO 23.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by P/S (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of RXO, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does RXO score 23.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 68.7 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 7.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. RXO earns its highest marks on P/S (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by PEG (D) and FCF (F). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so RXO is measured against Trucking peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is RXO overvalued or undervalued?

We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for RXO — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.

What are the main risks of investing in RXO?

Free cash flow is negative (-$76m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. Currently unprofitable (margin -1.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Trading within 3% of the 52-week high — limited technical margin of safety; a momentum reversal would test conviction.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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