Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PBI analysis

Pitney Bowes Inc.Integrated Freight & Logistics. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PBI
Pitney Bowes Inc. · Integrated Freight & Logistics
FCF$415mC
Rev-5.3%D
D/E
P/E13.8xA-
PEG0.73A-
61.2Score
$16.97$2.3B
1Y Target$19.56Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$24.69Compound horizon
10Y Target$31.67Long-dated conviction
FCF$415mTTM
C
FCF $415m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev-5.3%TTM YoY
D
Revenue -5.3% — meaningful contraction
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E13.8x
A-
P/E 13.8 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.73
A-
PEG 0.73 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 61.2
Quality0.75
Growth0.42
Value0.73
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
11% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value50% belowest. fair value ~$34
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-11% a year for the next decade — vs the ~9% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability30% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Integrated Freight & Logistics · market cap $2.3b. 11% off the 52-week high of $19.07. Revenue -5% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.73 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $19.56 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Revenue contracting -5% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Beta 1.64 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -22% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.
Horizon
1-3 yr $19.56 (5-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $24.69 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $31.67 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PBI vs the Top Picks average

PillarPBIBook avgDiff
Quality0.750.83-0.08
Growth0.420.91-0.50
Value0.730.76-0.03

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+2.3 over 37 daily scores
From 58.9 (Jun 22) → 61.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
117
Position size
$1,985
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$12.73
25% below $16.97
$ at risk if stopped
$496.37
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI): score, valuation & FAQ

Pitney Bowes Inc. (PBI) is a Integrated Freight & Logistics company that scores 61.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PBI sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PBI a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PBI 61.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Pitney Bowes Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PBI score 61.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PBI earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-), and is held back by Rev (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PBI overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $16.97, PBI sits about 50% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -11% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 13.8x× P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PBI?

Revenue contracting -5% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Beta 1.64 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. ROE -22% is below the long-run sustainable threshold of ~10% — capital efficiency would need to improve for the equity base to compound at the market rate.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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