Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

SKYW analysis

SkyWest, Inc.Airlines. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

SKYW
SkyWest, Inc. · Airlines
FCF$909mC+
Rev+9.1%B
D/E0.86C+
P/E11.1xA
PEG1.66C+
62.2Score
$111.84$4.3B
1Y Target$125.17Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$158.02Compound horizon
10Y Target$202.66Long-dated conviction
FCF$909mTTM
C+
FCF $909m — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+9.1%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +9.1% — at or above S&P median
D/E0.86
C+
D/E 0.86 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E11.1x
A
P/E 11.1 — cheapest decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.66
C+
PEG 1.66 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 62.2
Quality0.71
Growth0.50
Value0.68
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
10% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value63% belowest. fair value ~$303
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-18% a year for the next decade — vs the ~11% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability30% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC9.2% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Airlines · market cap $4.3b. 10% off the 52-week high of $123.94. 6 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $125.17 (implying +12% upside).
Moat
ROE 15% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Free cash flow runs well ahead of reported net income — non-cash charges (depreciation, intangible amortization) are holding down GAAP earnings while cash generation stays strong.
Risk
Beta 1.44 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $125.17 (6-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $158.02 at ~7% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $202.66 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

SKYW vs the Top Picks average

PillarSKYWBook avgDiff
Quality0.710.83-0.13
Growth0.500.91-0.41
Value0.680.76-0.08

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.7 over 37 daily scores
From 64.0 (Jun 22) → 62.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
17
Position size
$1,901
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$83.88
25% below $111.84
$ at risk if stopped
$475.32
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW): score, valuation & FAQ

SkyWest, Inc. (SKYW) is a Airlines company that scores 62.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A). On valuation, SKYW sits about 63% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is SKYW a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores SKYW 62.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of SkyWest, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does SKYW score 62.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). SKYW earns its highest marks on P/E (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is SKYW overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $111.84, SKYW sits about 63% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -18% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 11.1x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in SKYW?

Beta 1.44 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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