FCF $5.1b — strong cash profile, above most peers · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 05/26.
Rev+7.7%TTM YoYB
Revenue +7.7% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E1.36C
D/E 1.36 — more levered than most Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
P/E15.7xA-
P/E 15.7 — cheaper than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG1.23B
PEG 1.23 — acceptable premium for growth
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 59.9
Quality56.1
Growth55.7
Value68.7
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
16% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value7% aboveest. fair value ~$272
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 7% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~7% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability79% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC7.8% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Integrated Freight & Logistics · market cap $69.0b. 16% off the 52-week high of $345.37. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $355.50 (implying +22% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 115% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash. $69.0b market cap gives the company enough scale to absorb fixed costs that subscale competitors can't, without yet being so large that growth has to come from acquisition.
Risk
Net margin 4.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $355.50 (26-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $520.48 at ~12% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $772.10 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
FDX vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
FDX
Book avg
Diff
Quality
56
83
-27
Growth
56
89
-33
Value
69
76
-7
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · FDX
Trend
+8.4 over 81 daily scores
From 51.5 (Jun 22) → 59.9 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
FDX at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-0.7%
90-day change
+0.9%
Forward EPS estimate
$20.71
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect FDX to earn is essentially unchanged. The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · FDX
$
%
%
Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,750
3.5% of portfolio
Stop price
$218.78
25% below $291.71
$ at risk if stopped
$437.56
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
FedEx Corporation (FDX): score, valuation & FAQ
FedEx Corporation (FDX) is an Integrated Freight & Logistics company that scores 59.9 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and FCF (B+). On valuation, FDX sits about 7% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 7% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is FDX a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores FDX 59.9 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and FCF (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of FedEx Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does FDX score 59.9 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on value at 68.7 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 55.7 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. FDX earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and FCF (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so FDX is measured against Integrated Freight & Logistics peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is FDX overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $291.71, FDX sits about 7% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 7% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 15.7x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in FDX?
Net margin 4.7% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.