FCF is negative (-$244m) — cash-burning phase; acceptable only for pre-profit spec names · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+43.2%FY YoYA
Revenue +43.2% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.08A-
D/E 0.08 — less debt than most Basic Materials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/S15.3xD
P/S 15.3x — most expensive decile in Basic Materials (≈95th pctile)
PEG1.06B+
PEG 1.06 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 52.5
Quality0.54
Growth0.50
Value0.54
Why this score
Raising its dividend
Diluting shareholders
Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
24% off the 12-month high
Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.
Why now
Gold · market cap $19.8b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $306.25 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +43% — in hypergrowth territory. 12 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $301.17 (implying +29% upside).
Moat
Net margin 49% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 12% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. Mining moat is reserve quality + extraction cost per unit — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the commodity cycle while marginal producers burn it.
Risk
Free cash flow is negative (-$244m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. P/S 15.3x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $301.17 (12-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $526.74 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $941.39 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
RGLD vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
RGLD
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.54
0.83
-0.30
Growth
0.50
0.92
-0.42
Value
0.54
0.75
-0.21
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 82.4). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · RGLD
Trend
-0.5 over 37 daily scores
From 53.0 (Jun 22) → 52.5 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · RGLD
$
%
%
Shares to buy
8
Position size
$1,873
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$175.60
25% below $234.13
$ at risk if stopped
$468.26
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD): score, valuation & FAQ
Royal Gold, Inc. (RGLD) is a Gold company that scores 52.5 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+), while P/S (D) and FCF (F) rate weaker.
Is RGLD a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores RGLD 52.5 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Royal Gold, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does RGLD score 52.5 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). RGLD earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and PEG (B+), and is held back by P/S (D) and FCF (F). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is RGLD overvalued or undervalued?
We don't compute a reliable discounted-cash-flow value for RGLD — typically because it is not yet consistently profitable or free-cash-flow positive — so its valuation rests on growth and price-to-sales rather than on earnings-based intrinsic value. Judge it on the trajectory of the business, not a single multiple.
What are the main risks of investing in RGLD?
Free cash flow is negative (-$244m) — capital raises or debt issuance likely required; dilution / leverage risk. P/S 15.3x embeds aggressive forward growth — disappointing top-line guidance would compress the multiple hard. Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.