Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PLTR analysis

Palantir Technologies Inc.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

AIDefense & Drones
PLTR
Palantir Technologies Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$3.4bB
Rev+78.9%A
D/E0.02A
P/E153.8xD
PEG2.35C
73.0Score
$179.94$432.4B
1Y Target$191.68Analyst consensus · 27 analysts
5Y Target$280.64Compound horizon
10Y Target$416.31Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.4bTTM
B
FCF $3.4b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+78.9%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +78.9% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.02
A
D/E 0.02 — least levered decile in Technology (≈10th pctile)
P/E153.8x
D
P/E 153.8 — most expensive decile in Technology (≈95th pctile)
PEG2.35
C
PEG 2.35 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 73
Quality83.9
Growth98.8
Value47.0
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week high
13% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value700% aboveest. fair value ~$23
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability45% · A-gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC21.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Palantir’s Gotham platform is rapidly becoming the backbone of U.S. and allied defense operations, fueling a revenue surge of 78.9% YoY while delivering a staggering 49% profit margin and a 30.9% ROE. This triple‑digit growth engine compounds each quarter as more intelligence agencies and militaries lock‑in long‑term contracts, meaning the upside is driven by real cash‑flow expansion, not accounting tricks. The thesis rests on the relentless adoption of Gotham in the modern battlespace.
Moat
Gotham’s deep integration with classified sensor feeds and mission‑critical decision loops creates switching costs that rival any commercial analytics tool, locking in defense customers for years. The near‑zero debt‑to‑equity ratio (0.02) and the 30.9% ROE reflect pricing power derived from this mission‑essential status, which competitors cannot replicate without clearance and massive data‑ingestion infrastructure.
Risk
The market is pricing Palantir at a sky‑high P/E of 182.8, implying a 59% annual free‑cash‑flow growth that outpaces even the 78.9% revenue surge and is unsustainable without perpetual defense spend spikes. Diluting shareholder signals from our model warn that future equity issuances could erode ownership and pressure the stock if growth stalls. A breach in government contracting or a slowdown in defense budgets would validate this bearish view.
Horizon
1-3 yr $191.68 (27-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $280.64 at ~9% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $416.31 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PLTR vs the Top Picks average

PillarPLTRBook avgDiff
Quality0.840.84in line
Growth0.990.84+0.15
Value0.470.78-0.31

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-2.1 over 47 daily scores
From 75.1 (Jun 22) → 73.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+10.5%
90-day change+11.6%
Forward EPS estimate$2.31

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PLTR to earn is materially higher (+11.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
11
Position size
$1,979
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$134.95
25% below $179.94
$ at risk if stopped
$494.83
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR): score, valuation & FAQ

Palantir Technologies Inc. (PLTR) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 73 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and D/E (A), while P/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PLTR sits about 700% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is PLTR a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PLTR 73 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and D/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of Palantir Technologies Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PLTR score 73 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PLTR earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and D/E (A), and is held back by P/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PLTR overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $179.94, PLTR sits about 700% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 153.8x P/E (graded D). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PLTR?

The market is pricing Palantir at a sky‑high P/E of 182.8, implying a 59% annual free‑cash‑flow growth that outpaces even the 78.9% revenue surge and is unsustainable without perpetual defense spend spikes. Diluting shareholder signals from our model warn that future equity issuances could erode ownership and pressure the stock if growth stalls. A breach in government contracting or a slowdown in defense budgets would validate this bearish view.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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