Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

GDDY analysis

GoDaddy Inc.Software - Infrastructure. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

GDDY
GoDaddy Inc. · Software - Infrastructure
FCF$1.7bC+
Rev+7.4%B
D/E
P/E14.6xA-
PEG0.68A-
85.4Score
$98.19$12.4B
1Y Target$104.80Analyst consensus · 15 analysts
5Y Target$132.31Compound horizon
10Y Target$169.68Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.7bTTM
C+
FCF $1.7b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+7.4%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +7.4% — at or above S&P median
D/E
D/E data unavailable — neutral default
P/E14.6x
A-
P/E 14.6 — cheaper than most Technology peers (≈25th pctile)
PEG0.68
A-
PEG 0.68 — strong; Lynch's preferred zone

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 85.4
Quality95.4
Growth75.3
Value86.8
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
35% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value64% belowest. fair value ~$273
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-15% a year for the next decade — vs the ~15% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability54% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC26.5% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
The bull case hinges on GoDaddy’s Applications & Commerce suite—especially the high‑margin Websites + Marketing and Managed WordPress tools—that is fueling a resilient 7.4% YoY revenue growth while delivering a robust 17.8% profit margin and a healthy $1.7B free‑cash‑flow. With a PEG of 0.68 and a PE of 14.6, the stock trades well below the implied -15%/yr FCF growth from our reverse DCF, meaning the market is already pricing in optimism; the real upside lies in compounding this cash flow through continued buybacks and expanding the A&C platform. The thesis rests on the ability of the A&C segment to keep compounding cash flow at a rate that outpaces the -15% model assumption.
Moat
GoDaddy’s moat derives from its integrated platform that bundles website building, e‑commerce, SEO, and design tools into a single subscription ecosystem, creating high switching costs for small‑business owners who rely on the seamless integration of Domains, Hosting, and Marketing services. This stickiness, combined with a massive installed base of over a million active sites, gives GoDaddy pricing power and a defensible position that competitors cannot replicate quickly without massive infrastructure investment.
Risk
The bear case centers on the modest growth pillar—our model scores Growth at only 75—highlighting that the 7.4% revenue expansion may decelerate as the market saturates and larger platforms lure customers away, while the current PE of 14.6, though reasonable, still reflects a premium for growth that could be eroded if margins compress below the 17.8% level. A slowdown in A&C adoption or a margin dip below 15% would validate the implied -15% FCF growth and could push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $71.59. Confirmation would be a quarterly earnings miss on both revenue and margin.
Horizon
1-3 yr $104.80 (15-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $132.31 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $169.68 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

GDDY vs the Top Picks average

PillarGDDYBook avgDiff
Quality0.950.84+0.12
Growth0.750.84-0.09
Value0.870.78+0.08

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.5 over 47 daily scores
From 85.9 (Jun 22) → 85.4 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+2.4%
90-day change+2.4%
Forward EPS estimate$11.03

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect GDDY to earn is drifting higher (+2.4%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
20
Position size
$1,964
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$73.64
25% below $98.19
$ at risk if stopped
$490.95
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest GDDY developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

The Bull Rankings deep dive

Generated by the Bull Rankings model from current fundamentals and checked against the figures shown · rewritten weekly · updated · fundamentals as of . Not investment advice. How we source & verify every figure →

The Bull Rankings scorecard — our quality-growth score is 85.6 / 100, built from three pillars each graded 0–100 against sector peers: Quality 95, Growth 75, Value 87. At today's price, our reverse-DCF read says the market is implicitly betting on about -16% a year in free-cash-flow growth sustained for a decade — a gauge of how much optimism is already in the stock.

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD85.6/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY95.4GROWTH75.3VALUE87.4Reverse-DCF · Price implies an outright decline from here.

The thesis

WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100GDDY 85.6Top 1% of 1,860 scored names.

GoDaddy trades at $92.37 with a P/E of 13.7 and a PEG of 0.68, suggesting the market is already pricing modest earnings growth. Yet the Bull Rankings model awards the stock an 85.6/100 quality‑growth score, driven by a Quality pillar of 95 and a Growth pillar of 75. The strongest pillar—Quality—means the business generates a 17.8% profit margin and strong free cash flow ($1.7 b TTM) that can sustain shareholder returns. The weakest pillar—Growth—reflects the 7.4% FY revenue growth which lags peers in a fast‑moving SaaS arena. The thesis, therefore, is that GoDaddy is undervalued relative to its cash‑rich, high‑margin profile, but the market’s optimism about future growth is limited. The price is cheap enough to merit a Buy consensus, but the upside hinges on whether the company can lift its growth rate above the modest 7‑% level.

What the business actually is

REVENUE TO CASHRevenue$5.1b · 100%Net income$910.3m · 17.8%Free cash flow$1.7b · 33.4%Cash flow exceeds reported profit — high-quality earnings.

GoDaddy builds cloud‑based tools for small‑and‑medium‑size businesses. Its Applications & Commerce (A&C) segment sells the Websites + Marketing builder, Managed WordPress, and a suite of marketing services such as GoDaddy Studio and SEO tools. These products let entrepreneurs launch sites and run e‑commerce stores without deep technical expertise. The Core Platform segment underpins the whole stack, delivering domain registration, hosting, and the infrastructure that powers the A&C applications. The revenue engine is therefore a blend of recurring subscription fees from the A&C suite and transactional income from the Core platform’s domain and hosting services. Growth is currently coming from the A&C side, where the company is expanding AI‑driven features to keep customers on the platform.

Why it can keep compounding

The Quality pillar of 95 reflects GoDaddy’s ability to turn revenue into cash. A 17.8% profit margin on a $11.7 b market cap translates into robust earnings that fund $1.7 b of free cash flow. That cash is being returned to shareholders, as our model flags a “Buying back stock” signal. The moat lies in the sticky nature of domain and hosting contracts combined with the friction of switching away from an integrated website‑builder ecosystem. Competitors would need to replicate both the domain registrar infrastructure and the user‑friendly A&C tools—a costly, time‑intensive effort. Moreover, the recent AI enhancements to the Airo platform (reported by simplywall.st) give GoDaddy a technology edge that can improve customer retention and upsell rates, further cementing the cash‑generation engine.

The valuation question

PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$235$323FAIR-VALUE RANGE$92.4PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$273 · price $92.4 is 196% below it.

At 13.7× earnings and a PEG of 0.68, the market is already assuming earnings will grow faster than the 7.4% FY revenue growth we see. Our reverse‑DCF shows the current price implies ‑16% per‑year free‑cash‑flow growth over the next decade—a stark contrast to the positive growth the business actually delivers. In other words, the stock is priced as if cash flow will shrink for ten years, which is a pessimistic bias relative to the forward‑looking fundamentals. The analyst consensus target of $104.8 (≈13% upside) and a range up to $170 suggest some believe the market will re‑price the growth story, but the current valuation leaves ample room for a re‑rating if GoDaddy can lift its growth trajectory.

The bear case

Skeptics point to the Growth pillar of 75, the lowest of the three, indicating the company’s revenue expansion is modest. The 7.4% FY YoY growth is well below the high‑growth SaaS peers that typically post double‑digit increases. If the AI rollout stalls or the credit line expansion fails to translate into new subscriptions, the growth rate could flat‑line, validating the market’s implied ‑16% FCF decline. A concrete trigger would be a miss on the next quarter’s revenue guidance, which would likely push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $71.59 and erode the buy‑back narrative.

What would change our mind

First, a sustained revenue growth above 10% for two consecutive quarters would lift the Growth pillar and narrow the gap between actual and implied cash‑flow trajectories. Second, an increase in free‑cash‑flow generation that pushes the reverse‑DCF implied growth to a positive number—say +3% per year—would signal the market is finally pricing in the business’s cash‑rich nature. Third, a significant expansion of the AI‑driven A&C suite that drives higher subscription uptake, reflected in an upgraded analyst consensus target above $120, would confirm the upside potential and make the current 13.7× P/E look cheap. Until those conditions materialize, the stock remains a value play anchored by high quality but constrained by modest growth.

GoDaddy Inc. (GDDY): score, valuation & FAQ

GoDaddy Inc. (GDDY) is a Software - Infrastructure company that scores 85.4 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a strong reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). On valuation, GDDY sits about 64% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is GDDY a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores GDDY 85.4 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a strong reading. That is driven by P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of GoDaddy Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does GDDY score 85.4 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). GDDY earns its highest marks on P/E (A-) and PEG (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is GDDY overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $98.19, GDDY sits about 64% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -15% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 14.6x P/E (graded A-). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in GDDY?

The bear case centers on the modest growth pillar—our model scores Growth at only 75—highlighting that the 7.4% revenue expansion may decelerate as the market saturates and larger platforms lure customers away, while the current PE of 14.6, though reasonable, still reflects a premium for growth that could be eroded if margins compress below the 17.8% level. A slowdown in A&C adoption or a margin dip below 15% would validate the implied -15% FCF growth and could push the stock back toward its 52‑week low of $71.59. Confirmation would be a quarterly earnings miss on both revenue and margin.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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