Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

PENN analysis

PENN Entertainment, Inc.Resorts & Casinos. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

PENN
PENN Entertainment, Inc. · Resorts & Casinos
FCF$370mC
Rev+6.1%C+
D/E5.97D
P/S0.3xA
PEG1.01B+
47.8Score
$18.64$2.5B
1Y Target$24.39Analyst consensus · 19 analysts
5Y Target$42.67Compound horizon
10Y Target$76.25Long-dated conviction
FCF$370mTTM
C
FCF $370m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+6.1%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +6.1% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E5.97
D
D/E 5.97 — most levered decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈95th pctile)
P/S0.3x
A
P/S 0.3x — cheapest decile in Consumer Cyclical (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.01
B+
PEG 1.01 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 47.8
Quality29.9
Growth50.0
Value72.7
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
17% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value62% belowest. fair value ~$49
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-9% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
ROIC-9.6% · Freturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Resorts & Casinos · market cap $2.5b. 17% off the 52-week high of $22.36. 19 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $24.39 (implying +31% upside).
Moat
Turnaround / out-of-favor name — GAAP-unprofitable for now, so the durability case is forward-looking: it rests on a recovery (margin normalization, a cyclical upturn or restructuring) or an un-monetized asset (IP / network effects / first-mover position) rather than on current reported results.
Risk
D/E 5.97 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -12.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.
Horizon
1-3 yr $24.39 (19-analyst consensus) — catalyst-driven; binary events dominate. 5 yr $42.67 — requires the platform / technology to reach commercial scale. 10 yr $76.25 — return distribution heavily skewed.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

PENN vs the Top Picks average

PillarPENNBook avgDiff
Quality0.300.84-0.54
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.730.78-0.06

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+1.0 over 47 daily scores
From 46.8 (Jun 22) → 47.8 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-19.8%
90-day change-27.7%
Forward EPS estimate$1.19

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect PENN to earn is materially lower (-27.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
107
Position size
$1,995
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$13.98
25% below $18.64
$ at risk if stopped
$498.75
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN): score, valuation & FAQ

PENN Entertainment, Inc. (PENN) is a Resorts & Casinos company that scores 47.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a below-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are P/S (A) and PEG (B+), while D/E (D) rate weaker. On valuation, PENN sits about 62% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is PENN a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores PENN 47.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a below-average reading. That is driven by P/S (A) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of PENN Entertainment, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does PENN score 47.8 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). PENN earns its highest marks on P/S (A) and PEG (B+), and is held back by D/E (D). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is PENN overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $18.64, PENN sits about 62% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -9% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in PENN?

D/E 5.97 is elevated — limits strategic flexibility and raises refinancing exposure if rates stay higher for longer. Currently unprofitable (margin -12.7%) — path to GAAP profitability is the core thesis risk. Beta 1.41 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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