Nutrien Ltd. — Agricultural Inputs. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
NTR
Nutrien Ltd. · Agricultural Inputs
FCF$2.1bB
Rev+3.5%C+
D/E0.55C+
P/E13.6xB+
PEG1.29B
55.6Score
$66.92$32.1B
1Y Target$77.59Analyst consensus · 21 analysts
5Y Target$97.95Compound horizon
10Y Target$125.62Long-dated conviction
FCF$2.1bTTMB
FCF $2.1b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+3.5%TTM YoYC+
Revenue +3.5% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.55C+
D/E 0.55 — above the Basic Materials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E13.6xB+
P/E 13.6 — below the Basic Materials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.29B
PEG 1.29 — acceptable premium for growth
Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.
Quality-growth score · 55.6
Quality0.59
Growth0.48
Value0.60
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
22% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value30% aboveest. fair value ~$52
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~5% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-5% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability18% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC8.4% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Agricultural Inputs · market cap $32.1b. Down 22% from 52-week high of $85.36 — deep drawdown territory. 21 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $77.59 (implying +16% upside).
Moat
Moat signals from the quantitative card are modest — profitability and capital efficiency are middle-of-pack. The thesis here depends on softer factors (switching costs, brand, distribution, regulatory protection) not captured by the quality-growth screen.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $77.59 (21-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $97.95 at ~8% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $125.62 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
NTR vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
NTR
Book avg
Diff
Quality
0.59
0.83
-0.23
Growth
0.48
0.91
-0.43
Value
0.60
0.75
-0.14
Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.
Score history · NTR
Trend
-5.0 over 34 daily scores
From 60.6 (Jun 22) → 55.6 (now)
One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.
Position sizing · NTR
$
%
%
Shares to buy
29
Position size
$1,941
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$50.19
25% below $66.92
$ at risk if stopped
$485.17
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR): score, valuation & FAQ
Nutrien Ltd. (NTR) is a Agricultural Inputs company that scores 55.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are P/E (B+). On valuation, NTR sits about 30% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.
Is NTR a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores NTR 55.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Nutrien Ltd.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does NTR score 55.6 on Bull Rankings?
The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). NTR earns its highest marks on P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.
Is NTR overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $66.92, NTR sits about 30% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 5% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 13.6x× P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in NTR?
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.