Bull Rankings model

WD-40 Company (WDFC) stock analysis

Specialty Chemicals. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
WDFC
WD-40 Company · Specialty Chemicals
57.0Score
$202.29Oct 9 close$2.7B
1Y Target$271.67Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$397.75Compound horizon
10Y Target$590.03Long-dated conviction
FCF$79mTTM · 05/26
C-
FCF $79m — barely positive; fragile cash position · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 05/26.
Rev+10.2%TTM YoY
B
Revenue +10.2% — at or above S&P median · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.41
B
D/E 0.41 — near the Basic Materials debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E30.7x
C
P/E 30.7 — expensive vs Basic Materials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG3.76
D
PEG 3.76 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 57
Quality84.2
Growth50.0
Value44.1
Why this score
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
32% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value106% aboveest. fair value ~$98
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 25% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~9% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability75% · Agross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC24.6% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Specialty Chemicals · market cap $2.7b. Down 32% from 52-week high of $298.90 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +10%, comfortably above the S&P median. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $271.67 (implying +34% upside).
Moat
Net margin 13% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $271.67 (3-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $397.75 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $590.03 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

WDFC vs the Top Picks average

PillarWDFCBook avgDiff
Quality8483in line
Growth5089-39
Value4476-32

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+5.5 over 82 daily scores
From 51.5 (Jun 22) → 57.0 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

WDFC at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD57.0/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY84.2GROWTH50.0VALUE44.1Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~25% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$92–$107FAIR-VALUE RANGE$202PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$98 · price $202 is 106% above it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$202LOW $175HIGH $299Trading at the 22nd percentile of its 52-week range ($175–$299).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100WDFC 57.0Top 33% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-0.9%
90-day change-2.1%
Forward EPS estimate$6.47

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect WDFC to earn is drifting lower (-2.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
9
Position size
$1,821
3.6% of portfolio
Stop price
$151.72
25% below $202.29
$ at risk if stopped
$455.15
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

WD-40 Company (WDFC): score, valuation & FAQ

WD-40 Company (WDFC) is a Specialty Chemicals company that scores 57 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

The model flags FCF (C-) and PEG (D) as weaker areas. On valuation, WDFC sits about 106% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 25% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is WDFC a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores WDFC 57 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. A score is a quantitative screen of WD-40 Company's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does WDFC score 57 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 84.2 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 44.1 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. WDFC grades middle-of-pack across the graded signals, and is held back by FCF (C-) and PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so WDFC is measured against Specialty Chemicals peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is WDFC overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $202.29, WDFC sits about 106% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 25% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 30.7x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in WDFC?

Down 32% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Trailing P/E 31x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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