Oil & Gas Drilling. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.
★
NE
Noble Corporation plc · Oil & Gas Drilling
34.7Score
$42.36Oct 9 close$6.8B
1Y Target$48.55Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$71.08Compound horizon
10Y Target$105.44Long-dated conviction
FCF$284mTTM · 06/26C
FCF $284m — modest; watch for margin expansion · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev-11.1%TTM YoYD
Revenue -11.1% — meaningful contraction · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.43B+
D/E 0.43 — below the Energy debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E45.1xC
P/E 45.1 — expensive vs Energy peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG0.61est.A-
PEG 0.61 — strong; the growth comes cheap · PEG derived: P/E ÷ analysts' expected EPS growth for next year, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. When earnings are expected to dip this year, the growth used is the yearly average over this year and next, so a recovery isn't counted as growth.
Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology
Quality-growth score · 34.7
Quality54.8
Growth45.4
Value16.8
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
23% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value3% aboveest. fair value ~$41
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~25% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
ROIC4.3% · C+return on invested capital — leads the quality score
Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards
Why now
Oil & Gas Drilling · market cap $6.8b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $54.98 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue -11% — in contraction; any catalyst that reverses this triggers re-rating. PEG 0.61 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $48.55 (implying +15% upside).
Moat
FCF converts 190% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Revenue contracting -11% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Dividend payout 213% of earnings on a 4.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Trailing P/E 45x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $48.55 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $71.08 at ~11% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $105.44 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
NE vs the Top Picks average
Pillar
NE
Book avg
Diff
Quality
55
83
-28
Growth
45
89
-44
Value
17
76
-59
Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.
Score history · NE
Trend
-8.3 over 82 daily scores
From 43.0 (Jun 22) → 34.7 (now)
One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.
NE at a glance
Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.
Analyst estimate revisions
30-day change
-1.1%
90-day change
-17.6%
Forward EPS estimate
$2.02
Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect NE to earn is materially lower (-17.6%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.
Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →
Position sizing · NE
$
%
%
Shares to buy
47
Position size
$1,991
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$31.77
25% below $42.36
$ at risk if stopped
$497.73
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio
Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.
Noble Corporation plc (NE) is an Oil & Gas Drilling company that scores 34.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a weak reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.
Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A-) and D/E (B+), while Rev (D) rate weaker. On valuation, NE sits about 3% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.
Is NE a good stock to buy?
Bull Rankings scores NE 34.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a weak reading. That is driven by PEG (A-) and D/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Noble Corporation plc's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.
Why does NE score 34.7 on Bull Rankings?
The score leans on quality at 54.8 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 16.8 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. NE earns its highest marks on PEG (A-) and D/E (B+), and is held back by Rev (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so NE is measured against Oil & Gas Drilling peers, not against the market as a whole.
Is NE overvalued or undervalued?
Based on $42.36, NE sits about 3% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 16% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 45.1x P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.
What are the main risks of investing in NE?
Revenue contracting -11% — the operational turn is not yet visible in the top line. Dividend payout 213% of earnings on a 4.8% yield — distribution coverage is thin; one earnings stumble could force a dividend cut. Trailing P/E 45x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.