Bull Rankings model

CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) stock analysis

Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
CNX
CNX Resources Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
64.7Score
$34.03Oct 9 close$5.0B
1Y Target$37.64Analyst consensus · 11 analysts
5Y Target$55.10Compound horizon
10Y Target$81.74Long-dated conviction
FCF$526mTTM · 06/26
C+
FCF $526m — respectable but not differentiating · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+48.9%FY YoY
A
Revenue +48.9% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.49
B
D/E 0.49 — near the Energy debt median (≈60th pctile)
P/E5.5x
A
P/E 5.5 — cheapest decile in Energy (≈10th pctile)
PEG1.93
C+
PEG 1.93 — modest premium; above fair value

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 64.7
Quality73.5
Growth50.0
Value73.6
Why this score
  • Diluting shareholders
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
22% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value66% belowest. fair value ~$100
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~20% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $5.0b. Down 22% from 52-week high of $43.62 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +49% — in hypergrowth territory. 11 sell-side analysts rate this a Hold with a mean 1-yr target of $37.64 (implying +11% upside).
Moat
Net margin 44% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 21% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately.
Risk
Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $37.64 (11-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $55.10 at ~10% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $81.74 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

CNX vs the Top Picks average

PillarCNXBook avgDiff
Quality7383-10
Growth5089-39
Value7476-2

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+5.0 over 81 daily scores
From 59.7 (Jun 22) → 64.7 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

CNX at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD64.7/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY73.5GROWTH50.0VALUE73.6Reverse-DCF · Price implies roughly no growth from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$80.9$137 ▸FAIR-VALUE RANGE · ▸ BEYOND THE SCALE$34PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$99.9 · price $34 is 66% below it.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100CNX 64.7Top 18% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$34LOW $30.8HIGH $43.6Trading at the 25th percentile of its 52-week range ($30.8–$43.6).

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-1.4%
90-day change-8.8%
Forward EPS estimate$3.82

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect CNX to earn is materially lower (-8.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
58
Position size
$1,974
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$25.52
25% below $34.03
$ at risk if stopped
$493.44
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

CNX Resources Corporation (CNX): score, valuation & FAQ

CNX Resources Corporation (CNX) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 64.7 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A) and P/E (A). On valuation, CNX sits about 66% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is CNX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CNX 64.7 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A) and P/E (A). A score is a quantitative screen of CNX Resources Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CNX score 64.7 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on value at 73.6 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. CNX earns its highest marks on Rev (A) and P/E (A). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so CNX is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is CNX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $34.03, CNX sits about 66% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 13% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 5.5x P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CNX?

Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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