Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

CNX analysis

CNX Resources CorpEnergy. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

CNX
CNX Resources Corp · Energy
FCF$557mC+
Rev+45.2%A
D/E0.56B+
P/E4.3xA
PEG0.10A
72Score
$35.80$5.1B
1Y Target$38.66Model estimate · no analyst coverage
5Y Target$48.81Compound horizon
10Y Target$62.60Long-dated conviction
FCF$557mTTM · 03/26
C+
FCF $557m — respectable but not differentiating · TTM computed from 4 most-recent quarters (TTM · 03/26).
Rev+45.2%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +45.2% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.56total
B+
D/E 0.56 — healthy leverage, well below danger zone · Total D/E computed from balance sheet (short-term + long-term debt + lease obligations) ÷ stockholders equity. More accurate than native field, which often uses long-term debt only.
P/E4.3x
A
P/E 4.3 — deep value; well below S&P median (~20x)
PEG0.10proxy
A
PEG 0.10 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth · PEG proxy: P/E ÷ revenue growth % (true PEG requires forward EPS estimates, not in Finnhub free tier).

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72
Quality0.87
Growth0.90
Value0.80
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value73% belowest. fair value ~$133
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Why now
Energy · market cap $5.1b. 18% off the 52-week high of $43.62. Revenue growing +45% — in hypergrowth territory. PEG 0.10 — paying under fair value for the growth rate.
Moat
Net margin 55% is exceptional — pricing-power territory rare outside premium software, branded staples, and specialty pharma. ROE 27% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.
Horizon
1-3 yr $38.66 (structural (no analyst coverage)) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $48.81 at ~6% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $62.60 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

CNX vs the Top Picks average

PillarCNXBook avgDiff
Quality0.870.82+0.05
Growth0.900.90in line
Value0.800.75+0.05

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-0.7 over 31 daily scores
From 59.7 (Jun 22) → 59.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
55
Position size
$1,969
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$26.85
25% below $35.80
$ at risk if stopped
$492.25
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

CNX Resources Corp (CNX): score, valuation & FAQ

CNX Resources Corp (CNX) is a Energy company that scores 72 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). On valuation, CNX sits about 73% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is CNX a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores CNX 72 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). A score is a quantitative screen of CNX Resources Corp's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does CNX score 72 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). CNX earns its highest marks on Rev (A), P/E (A) and PEG (A). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is CNX overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $35.80, CNX sits about 73% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 4.3x× P/E (graded A). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in CNX?

Reserve-replacement treadmill — every barrel or ounce extracted has to be replaced through exploration or acquisition; underspending on replacement reserves shows up in production declines 2-3 years out.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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