Bull Rankings model

EQT Corporation (EQT) stock analysis

Oil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
EQT
EQT Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
62.8Score
$52.83Oct 9 close$33.0B
1Y Target$67.19Analyst consensus · 26 analysts
5Y Target$98.38Compound horizon
10Y Target$145.93Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.8bTTM · 06/26
B
FCF $3.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return · Trailing twelve months to 06/26 (operating cash flow − capex).
Rev+60.0%FY YoY
A
Revenue +60.0% — hypergrowth, top decile · Computed from the last two annual revenue figures (FY YoY).
D/E0.20
A-
D/E 0.20 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E12.3x
B+
P/E 12.3 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.55
C+
PEG 1.55 — modest premium; above fair value

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 62.8
Quality72.4
Growth50.0
Value68.4
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
23% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value72% belowest. fair value ~$186
What the price assumes: free cash flow shrinking about 15% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~23% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $33.0b. Down 23% from 52-week high of $68.24 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +60% — in hypergrowth territory. 26 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $67.19 (implying +27% upside).
Moat
Net margin 29% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 139% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $67.19 (26-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $98.38 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $145.93 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

EQT vs the Top Picks average

PillarEQTBook avgDiff
Quality7283-11
Growth5089-39
Value6876-8

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+4.3 over 80 daily scores
From 58.5 (Jun 22) → 62.8 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

EQT at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD62.8/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY72.4GROWTH50.0VALUE68.4Reverse-DCF · Price implies an outright decline from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$145$271 ▸FAIR-VALUE RANGE · ▸ BEYOND THE SCALE$52.8PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$186 · price $52.8 is 72% below it.
PRICE IN ITS 52-WEEK RANGE$52.8LOW $47.9HIGH $68.2Trading at the 24th percentile of its 52-week range ($47.9–$68.2).
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100EQT 62.8Top 22% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-4.2%
90-day change-10.1%
Forward EPS estimate$3.77

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect EQT to earn is materially lower (-10.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
37
Position size
$1,955
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$39.62
25% below $52.83
$ at risk if stopped
$488.68
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

EQT Corporation (EQT): score, valuation & FAQ

EQT Corporation (EQT) is an Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 62.8 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, EQT sits about 72% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 15% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten.

Is EQT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EQT 62.8 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of EQT Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EQT score 62.8 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on quality at 72.4 out of 100, with growth the weakest pillar at 50.0 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. EQT earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so EQT is measured against Oil & Gas E&P peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $52.83, EQT sits about 72% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies free cash flow shrinking about 15% next year, then recovering toward 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 12.3x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in EQT?

Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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