Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

EQT analysis

EQT CorporationOil & Gas E&P. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

EQT
EQT Corporation · Oil & Gas E&P
FCF$3.8bB
Rev+32.3%A
D/E0.20A-
P/E12.5xB+
PEG1.53C+
57.3Score
$53.72$33.6B
1Y Target$67.72Analyst consensus · 25 analysts
5Y Target$99.15Compound horizon
10Y Target$147.08Long-dated conviction
FCF$3.8bTTM
B
FCF $3.8b — solid, comfortably covers operations and capital return
Rev+32.3%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +32.3% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.20
A-
D/E 0.20 — less debt than most Energy peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E12.5x
B+
P/E 12.5 — below the Energy median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.53
C+
PEG 1.53 — modest premium; above fair value

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 57.3
Quality73.4
Growth50.0
Value51.3
Why this score
  • Cyclical growth
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeNear 52-week low
21% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value53% belowest. fair value ~$114
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~-17% a year for the next decade — vs the ~-3% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability19% · C+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC10.2% · Breturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Oil & Gas E&P · market cap $33.6b. Down 21% from 52-week high of $68.24 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +32% — in hypergrowth territory. 25 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $67.72 (implying +26% upside).
Moat
Net margin 28% sits well above the S&P median (~11%) — suggests structural pricing advantage or cost discipline competitors can't quickly close. ROE 11% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere. FCF converts 139% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.
Horizon
1-3 yr $67.72 (25-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $99.15 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $147.08 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

EQT vs the Top Picks average

PillarEQTBook avgDiff
Quality0.730.84-0.10
Growth0.500.84-0.34
Value0.510.78-0.27

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
-1.2 over 46 daily scores
From 58.5 (Jun 22) → 57.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change-3.9%
90-day change-15.1%
Forward EPS estimate$3.95

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect EQT to earn is materially lower (-15.1%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
37
Position size
$1,988
4.0% of portfolio
Stop price
$40.29
25% below $53.72
$ at risk if stopped
$496.91
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

EQT Corporation (EQT): score, valuation & FAQ

EQT Corporation (EQT) is a Oil & Gas E&P company that scores 57.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). On valuation, EQT sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is EQT a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EQT 57.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of EQT Corporation's fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EQT score 57.3 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EQT earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (A-) and P/E (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is EQT overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $53.72, EQT sits about 53% below our discounted-cash-flow fair value (a margin of safety) — the current price implies roughly -17% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 12.5x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in EQT?

Production-cost sensitivity — top-quartile cost producers generate cash through the cycle while marginal producers burn it; watch the cost-per-unit trend, not just headline revenue.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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