Bull Rankings model

MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) stock analysis

Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

★
MYRG
MYR Group Inc. · Engineering & Construction
68.6Score
$311.63Oct 9 close$4.9B
1Y Target$400.20Analyst consensus · 5 analysts
5Y Target$585.93Compound horizon
10Y Target$869.19Long-dated conviction
FCF$193mTTM · 06/26
C
FCF $193m — modest; watch for margin expansion · TTM from SEC filings (OCF − CapEx), four quarters to 06/26.
Rev+16.1%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +16.1% — above sector median, healthy trajectory · Latest four quarters of revenue vs the four before them, from SEC filings.
D/E0.09
A
D/E 0.09 — least levered decile in Industrials (≈10th pctile)
P/E29.6x
B
P/E 29.6 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG3.41
D
PEG 3.41 — very expensive; pricing in best-case scenarios

Targets: 1-year is analyst consensus where covered, 5- and 10-year are model estimates; the DCF is a cross-check, not a target. Methodology

Quality-growth score · 68.6
Quality76.1
Growth86.0
Value49.3
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
38% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value62% aboveest. fair value ~$192
What the price assumes: free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten — vs a starting rate of ~16% our model takes as the middle of three readings — analyst estimates, last year's revenue growth, and the company's own multi-year record.
Quality signals
Gross profitability30% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets — not in the score
ROIC23.0% · Areturn on invested capital — leads the quality score

Model-generatedFrom reported fundamentals, checked against the figures above · Editorial standards

Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $4.9b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $503.57 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +16%, comfortably above the S&P median. 5 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $400.20 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
ROE 22% is above 15% — the equity base is compounding at a rate the market struggles to discount accurately. FCF converts 117% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.
Horizon
1-3 yr $400.20 (5-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $585.93 at ~13% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $869.19 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.

MYRG vs the Top Picks average

PillarMYRGBook avgDiff
Quality7683-7
Growth8689-3
Value4976-27

Average of today's Top 30 (mean score 82.6); size and sector limits also decide the book.

Trend
+22.2 over 82 daily scores
From 46.4 (Jun 22) → 68.6 (now)

One point per daily run; read From → To for the actual range.

MYRG at a glance

THE BULL RANKINGS SCORECARD68.6/ 100 · BULL SCOREPEER MEDIANQUALITY76.1GROWTH86.0VALUE49.3Reverse-DCF · Price implies ~23% growth a year from here.
PRICE vs OUR DCF FAIR VALUE$165$237FAIR-VALUE RANGE$312PRICEOur DCF fair value ~$192 · price $312 is 62% above it.
ONE-YEAR MOVE VS ITS BETAFLATThis stock+58%Trailing one-year price change. Price history is not an inputto the Bull Rankings score.
WHERE THIS SCORE SITS0255075100MYRG 68.6Top 12% of 1,709 companies on the quality-growth score.

Same audited fundamentals as the score, unless a card says otherwise.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+0.1%
90-day change+10.7%
Forward EPS estimate$14.58

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect MYRG to earn is materially higher (+10.7%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

Estimates move both ways and are not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers →

Shares to buy
6
Position size
$1,870
3.7% of portfolio
Stop price
$233.72
25% below $311.63
$ at risk if stopped
$467.44
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only: excludes commissions, slippage and gap risk. Inputs stay in your browser.

MYR Group Inc. (MYRG): score, valuation & FAQ

MYR Group Inc. (MYRG) is an Engineering & Construction company that scores 68.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A) and Rev (B+), while PEG (D) rate weaker. On valuation, MYRG sits about 62% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten.

Is MYRG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MYRG 68.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of MYR Group Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MYRG score 68.6 on Bull Rankings?

The score leans on growth at 86.0 out of 100, with value the weakest pillar at 49.3 — the three combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. MYRG earns its highest marks on D/E (A) and Rev (B+), and is held back by PEG (D). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so MYRG is measured against Engineering & Construction peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is MYRG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $311.63, MYRG sits about 62% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free cash flow growing about 23% next year, slowing to 4% a year by year ten. It trades at a 29.6x P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MYRG?

Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Net margin 4.1% is thin — operating leverage cuts both ways; input-cost inflation or pricing pressure hits the bottom line first.

New to these metrics? See the guides and the methodology.

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