Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

ECG analysis

Everus Construction Group, Inc.Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

ECG
Everus Construction Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction
FCF$250mC
Rev+30.5%A
D/E0.47B+
P/E24.5xB+
PEG1.90C+
68.3Score
$122.17$6.2B
1Y Target$176.00Analyst consensus · 6 analysts
5Y Target$257.68Compound horizon
10Y Target$382.25Long-dated conviction
FCF$250mTTM
C
FCF $250m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+30.5%TTM YoY
A
Revenue +30.5% — hypergrowth, top decile
D/E0.47
B+
D/E 0.47 — below the Industrials debt median (≈40th pctile)
P/E24.5x
B+
P/E 24.5 — below the Industrials median (≈40th pctile)
PEG1.90est.
C+
PEG 1.90 — modest premium; above fair value · PEG derived: P/E ÷ forward 1-year analyst EPS growth, because this name has no vendor-supplied PEG. Same earnings-growth basis as the reported figure on other rows.

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 68.3
Quality76.3
Growth88.1
Value47.5
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
29% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value37% aboveest. fair value ~$89
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding at ~16% a year for the next decade — vs the ~13% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability27% · Bgross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC24.9% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted

Model-generatedGenerated by the Bull Rankings model from this company's reported fundamentals, and checked against the figures shown above.

Why now
Everus Construction Group’s explosive 30.5% FY revenue growth is powered by its Electrical & Mechanical segment winning large renewable‑energy wiring contracts, and that growth is underpinned by a 32.9% ROE and a healthy $250 m free‑cash‑flow generation. The Bull Rankings model scores the company 72/100 on Quality‑Growth, with Growth as the strongest pillar (92) and Value the weakest (65), meaning the business compounds at a rate that far outpaces peers while the market still undervalues that upside. The thesis rests on the continuation of this high‑margin, high‑return growth in renewable and infrastructure work.
Moat
The Electrical & Mechanical segment’s expertise in renewable‑energy wiring and fire‑suppression systems creates switching costs for utilities and large‑scale developers, who prefer a proven contractor that can bundle electrical, communication and mechanical services. This integrated offering fuels the 32.9% ROE by allowing Everus to command premium pricing and secure long‑term maintenance contracts that competitors can’t quickly replicate.
Risk
The 31.9 × P/E and a 0.47 debt‑to‑equity ratio mask a valuation that already assumes aggressive 20% annual free‑cash‑flow growth for the next decade; any slowdown in the renewable‑infrastructure pipeline or a margin dip would expose the stock to a steep correction. A bear’s trigger is a contraction of revenue growth below 20% YoY, which would make the reverse‑DCF implied growth unrealistic and force the price toward the 52‑week low of $69.61.
Horizon
1-3 yr $176.00 (6-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $257.68 at ~16% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $382.25 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

ECG vs the Top Picks average

PillarECGBook avgDiff
Quality0.760.84-0.07
Growth0.880.87in line
Value0.470.76-0.28

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.5). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+3.9 over 48 daily scores
From 64.4 (Jun 22) → 68.3 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Analyst estimate revisions

30-day change+17.5%
90-day change+17.8%
Forward EPS estimate$6.02

Over the last 90 days, what analysts expect ECG to earn is materially higher (+17.8%). The estimate is derived from price and forward P/E captured at the same instant, so a moving share price does not move this number — only a changed forecast does.

A rising estimate means expectations are improving, not that the price has failed to keep up — and estimates get cut as readily as they get raised. It is not part of the Bull Rankings score. Biggest movers across the market →

Shares to buy
16
Position size
$1,955
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$91.63
25% below $122.17
$ at risk if stopped
$488.68
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Latest ECG developments

Recent headlines from across the financial press · updated daily. Links open the source.

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG): score, valuation & FAQ

Everus Construction Group, Inc. (ECG) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 68.3 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). On valuation, ECG sits about 37% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade.

Is ECG a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores ECG 68.3 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by Rev (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of Everus Construction Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does ECG score 68.3 on Bull Rankings?

The score is carried by growth at 88.1 out of 100, and held back by value at 47.5 — the three pillars combine geometrically, so a weak one cannot be papered over by a strong one. ECG earns its highest marks on Rev (A), D/E (B+) and P/E (B+). Each signal is graded against sector-aware thresholds rather than one absolute bar, so ECG is measured against Engineering & Construction peers, not against the market as a whole.

Is ECG overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $122.17, ECG sits about 37% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies roughly 16% annual free-cash-flow growth over the next decade. It trades at a 24.5x P/E (graded B+). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in ECG?

The 31.9 × P/E and a 0.47 debt‑to‑equity ratio mask a valuation that already assumes aggressive 20% annual free‑cash‑flow growth for the next decade; any slowdown in the renewable‑infrastructure pipeline or a margin dip would expose the stock to a steep correction. A bear’s trigger is a contraction of revenue growth below 20% YoY, which would make the reverse‑DCF implied growth unrealistic and force the price toward the 52‑week low of $69.61.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial advisor.

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