Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

EXPO analysis

Exponent, Inc.Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

EXPO
Exponent, Inc. · Engineering & Construction
FCF$113mC
Rev+4.2%C+
D/E0.24A-
P/E28.7xB
PEG2.03C
72.2Score
$62.59$3.0B
1Y Target$81.67Analyst consensus · 3 analysts
5Y Target$119.57Compound horizon
10Y Target$177.37Long-dated conviction
FCF$113mTTM
C
FCF $113m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+4.2%TTM YoY
C+
Revenue +4.2% — steady but below market-beating range
D/E0.24
A-
D/E 0.24 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E28.7x
B
P/E 28.7 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG2.03
C
PEG 2.03 — expensive relative to growth rate

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 72.2
Quality0.93
Growth0.69
Value0.58
Why this score
  • Buying back stock
  • Raising its dividend
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
24% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value17% aboveest. fair value ~$53
Quality signals · context only
ROIC27.3% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $3.0b. Down 24% from 52-week high of $81.95 — deep drawdown territory. 3 sell-side analysts publish a mean 1-yr target of $81.67 (implying +30% upside).
Moat
Net margin 18% beats the market median by a meaningful margin — the company is keeping more of every revenue dollar than the average S&P constituent. ROE 32% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which. FCF converts 104% of net income — earnings translate cleanly into cash, a sign that working capital and capex are well-disciplined.
Risk
Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.
Horizon
1-3 yr $81.67 (3-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $119.57 at ~14% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $177.37 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Trend
-0.4 over 14 daily scores
From 72.6 (Jun 22) → 72.2 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
31
Position size
$1,940
3.9% of portfolio
Stop price
$46.94
25% below $62.59
$ at risk if stopped
$485.03
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO): score, valuation & FAQ

Exponent, Inc. (EXPO) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 72.2 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are D/E (A-). On valuation, EXPO sits about 17% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is EXPO a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EXPO 72.2 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by D/E (A-). A score is a quantitative screen of Exponent, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EXPO score 72.2 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EXPO earns its highest marks on D/E (A-). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is EXPO overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $62.59, EXPO sits about 17% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 28.7x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in EXPO?

Mature compounder — the risk is paying up for quality at a moment when growth is decelerating. Watch for sequential revenue + margin trends; the inflection from "compounder" to "ex-compounder" is hard to spot until the multiple already started compressing.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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