Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

EME analysis

EMCOR Group, Inc.Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent 7-signal model behind the daily rankings.

EME
EMCOR Group, Inc. · Engineering & Construction
FCF$1.1bC+
Rev+16.6%B+
D/E0.13A-
P/E26.3xB
PEG0.42A
73.6Score
$783.41$34.9B
1Y Target$1,000Analyst consensus · 7 analysts
5Y Target$1,263Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,619Long-dated conviction
FCF$1.1bTTM
C+
FCF $1.1b — respectable but not differentiating
Rev+16.6%TTM YoY
B+
Revenue +16.6% — above sector median, healthy trajectory
D/E0.13
A-
D/E 0.13 — less debt than most Industrials peers (≈25th pctile)
P/E26.3x
B
P/E 26.3 — near the Industrials median (≈60th pctile)
PEG0.42
A
PEG 0.42 — exceptional; paying well under fair value for growth

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 73.6
Quality0.82
Growth0.84
Value0.58
Why this score
  • Durable high returns
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
18% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value100% aboveest. fair value ~$391
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability36% · B+gross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
ROIC36.7% · Areturn on invested capital — not score-weighted
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $34.9b. 18% off the 52-week high of $951.96. Revenue growing +17%, comfortably above the S&P median. PEG 0.42 — paying under fair value for the growth rate. 7 sell-side analysts rate this a Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $1,000 (implying +28% upside).
Moat
ROE 35% — top-decile capital efficiency. Either pricing leverage, low capital intensity, or aggressive buybacks; the durability story depends on which.
Risk
Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.
Horizon
1-3 yr $1,000 (7-analyst consensus) — multiple re-rating thesis requires a catalyst. 5 yr $1,263 at ~10% CAGR — dividend + buyback compounding. 10 yr $1,619 if the moat survives secular pressure.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.
Shares to buy
2
Position size
$1,567
3.1% of portfolio
Stop price
$587.56
25% below $783.41
$ at risk if stopped
$391.70
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME): score, valuation & FAQ

EMCOR Group, Inc. (EME) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 73.6 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a solid, above-average reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are PEG (A), D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). On valuation, EME sits about 100% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich).

Is EME a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores EME 73.6 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a solid, above-average reading. That is driven by PEG (A), D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of EMCOR Group, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does EME score 73.6 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). EME earns its highest marks on PEG (A), D/E (A-) and Rev (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is EME overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $783.41, EME sits about 100% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value (i.e. the DCF flags it as rich). It trades at a 26.3x× P/E (graded B). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in EME?

Value re-rating depends on a catalyst. Without one — analyst day, divestiture, margin recovery, capital return — the stock can stay cheap on these multiples for years.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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