Stock analysis · Bull Rankings model

MTZ analysis

MasTec, Inc.Engineering & Construction. Scored on the same transparent model behind the daily rankings.

Infrastructure & Reshoring
MTZ
MasTec, Inc. · Engineering & Construction
FCF$245mC
Rev+23.5%A-
D/E0.90C+
P/E43.5xC
PEG1.01B+
63Score
$273.86$22.0B
1Y Target$487.76Analyst consensus · 17 analysts
5Y Target$714.14Compound horizon
10Y Target$1,059Long-dated conviction
FCF$245mTTM
C
FCF $245m — modest; watch for margin expansion
Rev+23.5%TTM YoY
A-
Revenue +23.5% — strong growth, well above S&P median (~7%)
D/E0.90
C+
D/E 0.90 — above the Industrials debt median (≈75th pctile)
P/E43.5x
C
P/E 43.5 — expensive vs Industrials peers (≈90th pctile)
PEG1.01
B+
PEG 1.01 — near fair value, classic Lynch benchmark (1.0)

Forward price target — the 1-year figure is the analyst consensus where the stock is covered; the 5- and 10-year figures compound our earnings estimate from there. The DCF below is a separate cross-check on intrinsic value (what it's worth today), not another target.

Quality-growth score · 63
Quality0.49
Growth0.98
Value0.52
Why this score
  • Short track record
Entry · Margin of safety
52-week rangeMid-range
38% off the 12-month high
vs DCF fair value545% aboveest. fair value ~$42
What the price assumes: free cash flow compounding above 60% a year for the next decade — vs the ~25% a year our model projects from current growth and analyst estimates.
Quality signals · context only
Gross profitability124% · Agross profit ÷ total assets (Novy-Marx)
Why now
Engineering & Construction · market cap $22.0b. Down 38% from 52-week high of $441.43 — deep drawdown territory. Revenue growing +23%, comfortably above the S&P median. 17 sell-side analysts rate this a Strong Buy with a mean 1-yr target of $487.76 (implying +78% upside).
Moat
ROE 14% meets the long-run market sustainable threshold — solid but not differentiated; the durability comes from elsewhere.
Risk
Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.84 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 44x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.
Horizon
1-3 yr $487.76 (17-analyst consensus) — fundamentals + valuation re-rating. 5 yr $714.14 at ~21% CAGR — compounding case rests on the competitive position widening. 10 yr $1,059 if current growth sustains into durable earnings power.
Not investment advice. The Bull Rankings publishes a quantitative ranking model and accompanying analysis for general informational purposes only. Nothing on this page is a recommendation to buy, sell, or hold any security; nothing is personalized to your circumstances, risk tolerance, or tax situation. Investing carries the risk of loss — invest at your own risk and consider consulting a licensed financial professional before acting on anything you read here. See terms and methodology for full disclosures.

MTZ vs the Top Picks average

PillarMTZBook avgDiff
Quality0.490.83-0.34
Growth0.980.91+0.07
Value0.520.75-0.22

Averaged across the 30 names in today's Top Picks (mean score 81.8). A name can beat these averages and still be absent from the book — it also applies concentration limits.

Trend
+10.0 over 32 daily scores
From 53.0 (Jun 22) → 63.0 (now)

One point per daily model run. The range autoscales, so a flat-looking line can still hide 1–2 point moves — read the From → To values for the actual range.

Shares to buy
7
Position size
$1,917
3.8% of portfolio
Stop price
$205.40
25% below $273.86
$ at risk if stopped
$479.25
budget $500.00 · 1% of portfolio

Math only — share count is floor(portfolio × risk% ÷ (price × stop%)). Doesn't account for commissions, slippage, gap risk, or position-correlation across your book. Inputs persist locally; never sent to the server. Not investment advice.

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ): score, valuation & FAQ

MasTec, Inc. (MTZ) is a Engineering & Construction company that scores 63 out of 100 on the Bull Rankings quality-growth model — a middling reading. The score blends three pillars — quality (durable returns, healthy margins, low leverage), growth (revenue and earnings), and value (valuation versus sector peers) — into one number, refreshed daily; it is a screen, not a buy recommendation.

Its strongest graded signals are Rev (A-) and PEG (B+). On valuation, MTZ sits about 545% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade.

Is MTZ a good stock to buy?

Bull Rankings scores MTZ 63 out of 100 on its quality-growth model, which is a middling reading. That is driven by Rev (A-) and PEG (B+). A score is a quantitative screen of MasTec, Inc.'s fundamentals, not personalised financial advice — weigh it against your own time horizon and risk tolerance, and read the risk factors below before acting.

Why does MTZ score 63 on Bull Rankings?

The quality-growth score blends three pillars — quality (returns on capital, margins, leverage, earnings quality), growth (revenue and earnings expansion), and value (valuation versus sector peers). MTZ earns its highest marks on Rev (A-) and PEG (B+). Each pillar is graded against sector-aware thresholds, then combined into the single 0–100 score.

Is MTZ overvalued or undervalued?

Based on $273.86, MTZ sits about 545% above our discounted-cash-flow fair value — the current price implies free-cash-flow growth above 60% a year for the next decade. It trades at a 43.5x× P/E (graded C). Discounted-cash-flow estimates are sensitive to growth and discount-rate assumptions, so treat this as a cross-check, not a price target.

What are the main risks of investing in MTZ?

Down 38% from the 52-week high — the market is pricing in something the screen can't see; verify the bear case before sizing up. Beta 1.84 implies above-market volatility — position-size to the drawdowns this name will produce in a market correction, not to its bull-case return. Trailing P/E 44x sits well above the S&P median (~20x) — multiple compression is a real risk if revenue growth decelerates.

New to these metrics? The guides explain free cash flow, how the score works, and more in the learn hub — or run another name through the screener.

Bull Rankings is an automated fundamentals screen for research and education. It is not investment advice, and nothing here is a recommendation to buy or sell any security. Do your own research and consider consulting a licensed financial adviser.

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